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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
2 round 05.08.2026 15:05 UTC

Bergs Z - Baez S

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Bergs Z face Baez S on August 5, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bergs Z 3-0-2, Baez S 3-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Bergs Z — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Bergs Z): model 44% · market 59% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bergs Z57.2%
2 · Baez S42.8%

Model estimate: win Bergs Z 57.2%, win Baez S 42.8%. Model favourite — Bergs Z.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bergs Z (odds1.58) Score 2:1 confidence 58%
  • • Bergs Z
  • • 🇧🇪 — Baes S
  • • 🇦🇷 (tennis)
  • • Bergs Z
  • • 🇧🇪: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Baes S
  • • 🇦🇷: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Bergs Z
  • • 🇧🇪: probability 58% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bergs Z - Baez S August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bergs Z. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / 2 2.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1% 4 books · best price +2.2%
1 58.6%
2 41.4%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.60 ↑ 1.65
Winner P2 2.35 ↓ 2.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Bergs Z
6-4LLLLWWWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 1.4
Baez S

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated05.08.2026 16:39 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
2 42%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 1:1
Claude updated05.08.2026 16:42 UTC
1 62% ✓ favourite
2 38%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1 — win Bergsa (ot 1.70)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 58% 42% 2:1 Over 22.5
Claude 62% 38% 2:0 Over 22.5
Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 2-y krug hard 05.08.2026 15:05 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 15:05 UTC 2-y krug Not started
Bergs Z
Bergs Z Belgium Seed 34
L L W W W
Baez S
Baez S Argentina Seed 48
W L W W L
-:-
Odds
P1 1.65 58.8% BetBoom
P2 2.35 41.3% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Devyatyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Belgium Country Argentina
- Rating -
27 Age 25
185 Height (cm) 170
88 Weight (kg) 70
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
31 Seed 1
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Bergs Z
52% 26 / 50
52% 26 / 50
Sintetika
no data
clay
3 iz 8
grass
7 iz 10
hard
16 iz 32
Baez S
50% 25 / 50
50% 25 / 50
Sintetika
no data
clay
11 iz 23
grass
0 iz 1
hard
14 iz 26

Head-to-head history

2024
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
  Bergs Z 0
  Baez S 0
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Devyatyy kort
Start 05.08.2026 15:05 UTC
Market 1 57.7% @ 1.65 / 2 42.3% @ 2.25
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Bergs Z 60%
📐 Math model Bergs Z 57%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Bergs Z - Baez S

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Zizu Bergs - Sebastyan Baes. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bergs Z 58.6% 57.2% market and model agree
Baez S 41.4% 42.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 57.2% / 42.8% probabilities
Rating 1,632 / 1,863 Bergs Z / Baez S
RD 181 / 130 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,269-1,995 / 1,603-2,122 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 42.8%
1 1.65 Fonbet · no value · model 57.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.65 60.6%
— 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1%
1.87 53.5% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3%
— — 2.25 44.4%
— — 2.25 44.4%
— 2.00 50.0% 2.45 40.8%
1.91 52.4% 1.84 54.4% 2.75 36.4%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.57 63.7%
— — 1.38 72.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.25 80.0%
2.55 39.2%
1.48 67.6%
3.65 27.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.38 72.5%
Over 20.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 21.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5 1.99 50.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.98 50.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.13 47.0%
Over 24.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 25.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Over 26.5 — — 2.80 35.7%
Over 27.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Under 19.5 — — 2.80 35.7%
Under 20.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 21.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Under 22.5 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6%
Under 23.5 — — 1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 2.5 1.58 63.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2024-10-17 · Zizu Bergs 2:0 Sebastyan Baes
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.57 (Winline) · 2 2.5 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.55 2.5
Winline 1.57 2.4
Fonbet 1.55 2.5
Betcity 1.54 2.48
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Bergs Z
L L W W W
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Bergs Z Fritz T 2:0 Bergs Z
2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Bergs Z Bergs Z 2:3 Fery A
2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Bergs Z Bergs Z 3:1 Faria J
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Bergs Z Humbert U 2:3 Bergs Z
2026-06-27 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Bergs Z Bergs Z 2:1 Humbert U
3 Wins
2 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Baez S
W L W W L
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Baez S 2:0 Bellucci M Baez S
2026-07-23 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Hanfmann Y 2:0 Baez S Baez S
2026-07-22 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Baez S 2:1 Rinderknech A Baez S
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Baez S 2:1 Kecmanovic M Baez S
2026-07-17 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Rublev A 2:0 Baez S Baez S
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBergs Z - Baez S

Bergs Z
0 matches total
Baez S
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2024 Antverpen hard 2-y krug Z. Zizu Bergs Zizu Bergs (Belgium) 2 6 S. Sebastyan Baes Sebastyan Baes (Argentina) 0 3 4 ; ; CHAMP('m