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ATP. Monreal International

1 round 04.08.2026 00:15 UTC

Damm M - Tsitsipas S

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Damm M take on Tsitsipas S on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Damm M 3-0-2, Tsitsipas S 4-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tsitsipas S — 59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Tsitsipas S): model 44% · market 61% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Damm M40.8%

market39%

2 · Tsitsipas S59.2%

market61%

Model estimate: win Damm M 40.8%, win Tsitsipas S 59.2%. Model favourite — Tsitsipas S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tsitsipas S (odds1.51) Score 1:2 confidence 61%

• Damm M: forma VPV (2-1)
• Tsitsipas S: forma VVVVV (5-0)
• Model backs Tsitsipas S: probability 61% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
• no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Damm M - Tsitsipas S August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tsitsipas S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.45 / 2 1.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.6% 4 books

1 39.1%

2 60.9%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner P1 2.55 ↓ 2.45

Winner P2 1.52 ↑ 1.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Monreal

ATP. Monreal 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 00:15 UTC Not started

04.08.2026 00:15 UTC 1-y krug Not started

Damm M Greece Seed 51

W L W W L

Tsitsipas S

W L W W W

-:-

Odds

P1 2.45 38.9% BetBoom

P2 1.56 61.1% BetBoom

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Greece Country -

- Rating -

22 Age -

203 Height (cm) -

95 Weight (kg) -

Levsha Hand -

Q Seed -

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Damm M

42% 8 / 19

42% 8 / 19

Sintetika

no data

clay

1 iz 3

grass

2 iz 5

hard

5 iz 11

Tsitsipas S

52% 22 / 42

52% 22 / 42

Sintetika

no data

clay

10 iz 16

grass

1 iz 3

hard

11 iz 23

Head-to-head history

Monreal

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort

Start 04.08.2026 00:15 UTC

Market 1 38.8% @ 2.45 / 2 61.3% @ 1.55

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 7 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Damm M - Tsitsipas S

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Martin Damm-ml. - Stefanos Tsitsipas. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Damm M 39.1% 40.8%

Tsitsipas S 60.9% 59.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 40.8% / 59.2% probabilities

Rating 1,823 / 1,725 Damm M / Tsitsipas S

RD 208 / 166 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,407-2,239 / 1,393-2,057 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 59.2%

1 2.45 Fonbet · no value · model 40.8%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 21.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only

Over 22.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.98 50.5%	1.90 52.6%	—
1.76 56.8%	1.74 57.5%	—
—	—	2.50 40.0%
—	—	2.90 34.5%
—	—	1.60 62.5%
—	—	1.80 55.6%
—	—	2.20 45.5%
—	—	3.05 32.8%
—	—	5.00 20.0%
—	—	1.45 69.0%
1.81 55.3%	1.80 55.6%	1.35 74.1%
2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	1.23 81.3%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 21.5	—	—	1.33 75.2%
Over 22.5	—	—	1.45 69.0%
Over 23.5	—	1.85 54.1%	1.70 58.8%
Over 24.5	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	1.72 58.1%
Over 25.5	1.89 52.9%	1.84 54.4%	1.90 52.6%
Over 26.5	—	—	2.20 45.5%
Over 27.5	—	—	2.25 44.4%
Over 28.5	—	—	2.35 42.6%
Under 23.5	—	1.95 51.3%	—
Under 24.5	1.91 52.4%	1.93 51.8%	—
Under 25.5	1.89 52.9%	1.86 53.8%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	2.45 40.8%	2.27 44.1%	2.45 40.8%	2.39 41.8%
	1.55 64.5%	1.56 64.1%	1.55 64.5%	1.56 64.1%

Match center

Damm M

W L W W L

2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying

Damm M Damm M 2:0 Rocha H

2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA

Damm M Damm M 1:2 Shelton B

2026-07-26 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying

Damm M Damm M 2:1 Shelbayh A

2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying

Damm M Damm M 2:0 Coppejans K

2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Damm M Rinderknech A 3:0 Damm M

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.4 Sets won

1.2 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Tsitsipas S

W L W W W

2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying

Tsitsipas S 2:0 Rice K Tsitsipas S

2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA

De Minaur A 2:1 Tsitsipas S Tsitsipas S

2026-07-19 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland

Tsitsipas S 2:1 Collignon R Tsitsipas S

2026-07-18 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland

Shevchenko A 1:2 Tsitsipas S Tsitsipas S

2026-07-17 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland

Rinderknech A 1:2 Tsitsipas S Tsitsipas S

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.8 Sets won

1.0 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDamm M - Tsitsipas S

Damm M

0 matches total

Tsitsipas S

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

Monreal