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ATP. Montreal. Hard
ATP. Montreal. Hard International

Popyrin A - Burruchaga R A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction

Popyrin A meet Burruchaga R A on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Montreal. Hard, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Popyrin A 1-0-4, Burruchaga R A 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Popyrin A56%

Pure model vs market (1 · Popyrin A): model 44% · market 61% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Popyrin A55.6%
2 · Burruchaga R A44.4%

Model estimate: win Popyrin A 55.6%, win Burruchaga R A 44.4%. Model favourite — Popyrin A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Popyrin A (odds1.60) Score 2:1 confidence 58%
  • Popyrin A
  • 🇦🇺 — Burruchaga R-A (tennis)
  • Popyrin A
  • 🇦🇺: forma VPPPP (1-4)
  • Burruchaga R-A: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • Model backs Popyrin A
  • 🇦🇺: probability 58% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
  • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Popyrin A - Burruchaga R A August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Popyrin A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / 2 2.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 4 books · best price +2.9%
1 60.8%
2 39.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.58 ↑ 1.67
Winner P2 2.40 ↓ 2.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP. Montreal. Hard
ATP. Montreal. Hard 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 15:05 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 15:05 UTC 1-y krug Not started
Popyrin A
Popyrin A Australia
W L L L L
Burruchaga R A
Burruchaga R A Argentina
L W W L W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.67 57.4% BetBoom
P2 2.25 42.6% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Australia Country Argentina
- Rating -
26 Age 24
196 Height (cm) 183
78 Weight (kg) 80
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
Q Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Popyrin A
29% 10 / 34
29% 10 / 34
Sintetika
no data
clay
6 iz 12
grass
0 iz 3
hard
4 iz 19
Burruchaga R A
52% 12 / 23
52% 12 / 23
Sintetika
no data
clay
12 iz 21
grass
0 iz 2
hard
no data

Head-to-head history

Monreal
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium.
Start 04.08.2026 15:05 UTC
Market 1 61.3% @ 1.55 / 2 38.8% @ 2.45
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 7 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Popyrin A - Burruchaga R A

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Aleksey Popyrin - Roman Andres Burruchaga. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Popyrin A 56.9% 55.6% market and model agree
Burruchaga R A 43.2% 44.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 55.6% / 44.4% probabilities
Rating 1,451 / 1,700 Popyrin A / Burruchaga R A
RD 159 / 163 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,133-1,769 / 1,375-2,026 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.45 Fonbet · no value · model 44.4%
1 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 55.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.55 64.5%
1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.65 60.6%
1.87 53.5% 1.94 51.6%
2.50 40.0%
1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.70 37.0%
1.91 52.4% 1.86 53.8% 3.05 32.8%
2.30 43.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.63 61.4%
1.38 72.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 20.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 21.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 22.5 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3%
Over 23.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 25.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 26.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 27.5 3.00 33.3%
Under 19.5 2.95 33.9%
Under 20.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 21.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 22.5 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%
Under 23.5 1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.55 64.5% 1.61 62.1%
2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.28 43.9%
Match center
Popyrin A
W L L L L
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Popyrin A Popyrin A 1:0 Kokkinakis T
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Popyrin A Andrade A 2:1 Popyrin A
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Popyrin A Lehecka J 3:0 Popyrin A
2026-06-22 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Popyrin A Choinski J 2:1 Popyrin A
2026-06-16 2026 Halle, Germany
Popyrin A Popyrin A 0:2 Collignon R
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Burruchaga R A
L W W L W
2026-07-24 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Burruchaga R A 1:2 Blockx A Burruchaga R A
2026-07-22 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Borges N 1:2 Burruchaga R A Burruchaga R A
2026-07-21 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Wawrinka S 1:2 Burruchaga R A Burruchaga R A
2026-07-17 2026 Umag, Croatia
Burruchaga R A 0:2 Merida Aguilar D Burruchaga R A
2026-07-16 2026 Umag, Croatia
Burruchaga R A 2:1 Ugo Carabelli C Burruchaga R A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPopyrin A - Burruchaga R A

Popyrin A
0 matches total
Burruchaga R A
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Monreal