ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay

2-й круг 15.07.2026 14:30 MSK Match prediction

Altmayer D. 🇩🇪 - Darderi L

Tennis ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay

ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay 2-й круг Грунт 15.07.2026 14:30 MSK Finished

15.07.2026 14:30 MSK 2-й круг Finished

Altmayer D. 🇩🇪 Германия Seed 60

Darderi L Италия Seed 18

0:2 4:6 4:6

1 2 GP

Altmayer D. 🇩🇪 4 4 0

Darderi L 6 6 2

1 2

Odds

P1 2.48 38.6% BetBoom

P2 1.56 61.4% BetBoom

Stadium: Бостад Теннис Стэдиум. Центральный корт Coverage: Грунт

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Германия Country Италия

- Rating -

27 Age 24

188 Height (cm) 183

80 Weight (kg) 82

Right Hand Right

60 Seed 18

Грунт Coverage Грунт

Посев 2 1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Altmayer D. 🇩🇪

40% 20 / 50

40% 20 / 50

Синтетика

no data

Грунт

7 из 16

Трава

4 из 8

Хард

9 из 26

Darderi L

59% 36 / 61

59% 36 / 61

Синтетика

no data

Грунт

26 из 35

Трава

1 из 3

Хард

9 из 23

Head-to-head history

2024

ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay

Л. Лучано Дардери 0 6 3

Д. Даниэль Альтмайер 2 7 6

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Darderi L — 61%

Pure model vs market (2 · Darderi L): model 48% · market 61% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Altmayer D. 🇩🇪39.5%

market39%

2 · Darderi L ✓ Прогноз60.5%

market61%

Model estimate: win Altmayer D. 🇩🇪 39.5%, win Darderi L 60.5%. Model favourite — Darderi L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Darderi L (odds1.56) confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Altmayer D. 🇩🇪 - Darderi L 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Darderi L.

Line favourite market consensus: Darderi L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.48 / 2 1.56
Glicko: Altmayer D. 🇩🇪 39.5% / Darderi L 60.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 4.4%

1 38.6%

2 ✓ Прогноз 61.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Altmayer D. 🇩🇪

4-6LWLWLWWLLL

scored 1.2conceded 1.5

Darderi L

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Stadium Бостад Теннис Стэдиум. Центральный корт

Start 15.07.2026 14:30 MSK

Stage 2-й круг

Coverage Грунт

Form 9 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Altmayer D. 🇩🇪 - Darderi L

Онлайн трансляция теннисного матча Даниэль Альтмайер - Лучано Дардери. Бостад. Вся информация: статистика, новости, интервью, фото

Form 1/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 1 block. officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line

More needed

Referees source needed

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 0:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Altmayer D. 🇩🇪 Darderi L Result

Set 0 4 6 4:6

Set 1 4 6 4:6

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Altmayer D. 🇩🇪 38.1% 39.5%

Darderi L 61.9% 60.5% market and model agree

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 39.5% / 60.5% probabilities

Rating 1,644 / 1,517 Altmayer D. 🇩🇪 / Darderi L

RD 173 / 221 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,298-1,990 / 1,075-1,959 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 60.5%

1 2.45 market consensus · no value · model 39.5%

Total

Over 22.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Under 22.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
П1 +2.5	1.89 52.9%	1.90 52.6%	1.98 50.5%
П1 +3.5	1.76 56.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.77 56.5%
П2 -2.5	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.80 55.6%
П2 -3.5	1.99 50.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
ТБ 22.5	1.87 53.5%	1.90 52.6%	1.94 51.6%
ТМ 22.5	1.87 53.5%	1.90 52.6%	1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
П1	2.45 40.8%	2.43 41.2%	2.48 40.3%
П2	1.51 66.2%	1.56 64.1%	1.52 65.8%

Match center

Altmayer D. 🇩🇪

14.07 13:00 МСК ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay

Altmayer D. 🇩🇪 2:0 Gaston Kh. 🇫🇷

1 Wins

0 Losses

2.0 Sets won

0.0 Sets lost

100% Win percentage

Darderi L

D D

14.07.2026 Championat

5 Н. Нуну Боржеш (Португалия) 2 6 6 WC М. Моиз Куаме (Франция) 0 4 2 · 1-й круг Darderi L

14.07.2026 Championat

Д. Даниэль Альтмайер (Германия) 2 6 7 — Ю. Юго Darderi L

0 Wins

0 Losses

- Sets won

- Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAltmayer D. 🇩🇪 - Darderi L

Altmayer D. 🇩🇪

0 matches total

Darderi L

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2024 Белград Хард 1-й круг 8 Л. Лучано Дардери Лучано Дардери (Италия) 0 6 3 A Д. Даниэль Альтмайер Даниэль Альтмайер (Германия) 2 7 6 ; CHAMP('tournamentTab