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ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
1-й круг 14.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 - Midon L

Tennis ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay 1-й круг Грунт 14.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
14.07.2026 08:00 UTC 1-й круг Finished
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 Аргентина Seed 110
Midon L
Midon L Аргентина Seed 213
1:2 6:3 4:6 2:6
1 2 3 GP
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 6 4 2 1
Midon L 3 6 6 2
1 2 3
Odds
P1 16.00 20.8% BetBoom
P2 4.20 79.2% BetBoom
Stadium: Бостад Теннис Стэдиум. Третий корт Coverage: Грунт
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Аргентина Country Аргентина
- Rating -
25 Age 22
183 Height (cm) 180
75 Weight (kg) 71
Left Hand Right
110 Seed 213
Грунт Coverage Грунт
Q 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
33% 1 / 3
33% 1 / 3
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
1 из 3
Трава
no data
Хард
no data
Midon L
0% 0 / 1
0% 0 / 1
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
0 из 1
Трава
no data
Хард
no data

Head-to-head history

Бостад
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 — 74%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷): model 58% · market 45% Δ +13 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 ✓ Прогноз74.3%
market45%
2 · Midon L25.7%
market55%

Model estimate: win Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 74.3%, win Midon L 25.7%. Model favourite — Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 - Midon L 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Midon L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Midon L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 74.3% / Midon L 25.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 79.0%
1 ✓ Прогноз 44.7%
2 55.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.25 ↑ 16.00
Победитель П2 3.90 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.7
Midon L
4-6LLWLWWLLWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Бостад Теннис Стэдиум. Третий корт
Start 14.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Stage 1-й круг
Coverage Грунт
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 - Midon L

Онлайн трансляция теннисного матча Факундо Диас Акоста - Лаутаро Мидон. Бостад. Вся информация: статистика, новости, интервью, фото

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 1 block. officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 Midon L Result
Set 0 6 3 6:3
Set 1 4 6 4:6
Set 2 2 6 2:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 76.2% 74.3% market and model agree
Midon L 23.8% 25.7%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 74.3% / 25.7% probabilities
Rating 1,978 / 1,811 Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 / Midon L
RD 127 / 151 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,723-2,232 / 1,509-2,113 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 25.7%
1 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 74.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 15.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -0.5 — — 1.22 82.0%
П1 -4.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —
П2 +0.5 — — 1.01 99.0%
П2 +1.5 — — 1.03 97.1%
П2 +2.5 — — 1.43 69.9%
П2 +3.5 — — 3.10 32.3%
П2 +4.5 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% —
П2 -0.5 — — 3.85 26.0%
П2 -1.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
П2 -2.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
П2 -3.5 — — 1.37 73.0%
П2 -4.5 — — 1.37 73.0%
П2 -5.5 — — 1.12 89.3%
П2 -6.5 — — 1.14 87.7%
П2 -7.5 — — 1.28 78.1%
П2 -8.5 — — 1.28 78.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 15.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 16.5 — — 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 17.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 18.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 19.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 20.5 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 21.5 1.98 50.5% 1.96 51.0% 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 22.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 23.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 24.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
ТМ 20.5 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% —
ТМ 21.5 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 16.00 6.3% 1.24 80.7%
П2 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 1.01 99.0% 3.90 25.6%
Match center
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
D
13.07.2026 Championat
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 Й. Йеспер де Йонг (Нидерланды) 2 7 7 — В. Вилюс Гаубас (Литва) 0 6 5 · 1-й круг
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Midon L
D D
14.07.2026 Championat
Н. Николай Будков Кьер (Норвегия) LD А. Андреа Пеллегрино (Италия) · 1-й круг Midon L
14.07.2026 Championat
С. Себастьян Офнер (Австрия) 7 — Т. Тьяго Агустин Midon L
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage