ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay
ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay

Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸 - Deniel T. 🇯🇵

Tennis ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay
ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay clay 13.07.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
13.07.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
S
Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸
D
Deniel T. 🇯🇵
W
1:2
Odds
P1 15.00 7.8% BetBoom
P2 1.27 92.2% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Deniel T. 🇯🇵72%

Pure model vs market (2 · Deniel T. 🇯🇵): model 60% · market 94% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸27.8%
market6%
2 · Deniel T. 🇯🇵 ✓ Прогноз72.2%
market94%

Model estimate: win Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸 27.8%, win Deniel T. 🇯🇵 72.2%. Model favourite — Deniel T. 🇯🇵.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Deniel T. 🇯🇵 (odds1.27) confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸 - Deniel T. 🇯🇵 13 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deniel T. 🇯🇵.

Line favourite Fonbet: Deniel T. 🇯🇵. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸 27.8% / Deniel T. 🇯🇵 72.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 6.3%
2 ✓ Прогноз 93.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.45 ↑ 15.00
Победитель П2 1.50 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸
5-5WLWLLLWWWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.2
Deniel T. 🇯🇵
9-1WWWLWWWWWW
scored 1.8conceded 0.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:7/7 ready

Google AI updated13.07.2026 10:02 UTC
1 25%
2 75% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:2
DeepSeek updated13.07.2026 10:03 UTC
1 20%
2 80% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: ТМ 21.5 Bet:Победа Дэниела Т. (П2)
ChatGPT updated13.07.2026 10:14 UTC
1 24%
2 76% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: ТМ 21.5 Bet:П2
Per AI data H2H: 0:0
Claude updated13.07.2026 10:16 UTC
1 28%
2 72% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:Победа Дэниела
Qwen updated13.07.2026 10:13 UTC
1 25%
2 75% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:Победа Таро Даниэля (P2)
Per AI data H2H: 0-1 (2:6, 4:6)
Kimi updated13.07.2026 10:18 UTC
1 22%
2 78% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 20.5 Bet:П2 (победа Дэниеля)
Per AI data Form:W-L-L-W-W (vs Carballes Baena w/ret, Balshaw L, Alcala Gurri L, Demanet W, Moro Canas W) / W-W-W-L-W (vs Shevchenko W, Cina W, Piros W, Royer L, Olivieri W)
GLM 5.2 updated13.07.2026 10:20 UTC
1 18%
2 82% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: ТМ 21.5 Bet:Победа Дэниела с форой (-2.5) по геймам

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 25% 75% 2:0 ТБ 22.5 2
DeepSeek 20% 80% 0:2 ТМ 21.5 Победа Дэниела Т. (П2)
ChatGPT 24% 76% 0:2 ТМ 21.5 П2
Claude 28% 72% 0:2 ТМ 22.5 Победа Дэниела
Qwen 25% 75% 0:2 ТМ 22.5 Победа Таро Даниэля (P2)
Kimi 22% 78% 2:0 ТМ 20.5 П2 (победа Дэниеля)
GLM 5.2 18% 82% 0:2 ТМ 21.5 Победа Дэниела с форой (-2.5) по геймам
Match center
Start 13.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸 - Deniel T. 🇯🇵

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸 26.5% 27.8%
Deniel T. 🇯🇵 73.5% 72.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 27.8% / 72.2% probabilities
Rating 1,349 / 1,865 Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸 / Deniel T. 🇯🇵
RD 183 / 141 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 982-1,715 / 1,584-2,146 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 72.2%
1 3.59 market consensus · no value · model 27.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 14.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Over 15.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +3.5 1.97 50.8% 2.02 49.5%
П1 +4.5 1.94 51.6% 1.93 51.8%
П2 +1.5 1.45 69.0%
П2 +2.5 1.14 87.7%
П2 +3.5 1.30 76.9%
П2 +4.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 +5.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +6.5 3.15 31.8%
П2 +7.5 2.55 39.2%
П2 +8.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +9.5 3.10 32.3%
П2 -0.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -3.5 1.76 56.8% 1.74 57.5%
П2 -4.5 1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 14.5 1.32 75.8%
ТБ 15.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 16.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 17.5 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 18.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 19.5 1.76 56.8% 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 20.5 1.88 53.2% 1.94 51.6% 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.94 51.6% 2.02 49.5%
ТМ 19.5 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 20.5 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 3.47 28.8% 3.80 26.3% 15.00 6.7% 3.50 28.6%
П2 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.26 79.4%
Match center
Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸
L L L W W
06.07 07:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Liege (Бельгия), грунт
Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸 0:2 Balshaw F. (Фра)Balshaw F. (Фра)
11.06 11:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Cattolica (Италия), грунт
Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸 0:2 Далла Валле Э. (Ита)
09.06 07:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Cattolica (Италия), грунт
Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸 0:2 Додиг М
08.06 06:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Cattolica (Италия) - квалификация, грунт
Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸 2:1 Мацца М. (Ита)
07.06 08:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Cattolica (Италия) - квалификация, грунт
Sanches Khover K. 🇪🇸 2:1 Campana Lee G. (Кор)
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Deniel T. 🇯🇵
W
12.07 06:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay
Deniel T. 🇯🇵 2:0 Koria F. 🇦🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage