Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Halys Q — 53%
Pure model vs market (2 · Halys Q): model 48% · market 54% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Cina F. 🇮🇹 46.7%, win Halys Q 53.3%. Model favourite — Halys Q.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Halys Q.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 +0.5 | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| П1 +1.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.82 55.0% |
| П1 -0.5 | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| П1 -1.5 | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| П1 -2.5 | — | 2.60 38.5% |
| П1 -3.5 | — | 3.25 30.8% |
| П1 0 | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| П2 +0.5 | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 +1.5 | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 +2.5 | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| П2 +3.5 | — | 2.65 37.7% |
| П2 -0.5 | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.96 51.0% | 1.57 63.7% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| П2 0 | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 20.5 | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| ТБ 21.5 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| ТБ 22.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 23.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% |
| ТБ 24.5 | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| ТБ 25.5 | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| ТБ 26.5 | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| ТБ 27.5 | — | 2.75 36.4% |
| ТБ 28.5 | — | 2.85 35.1% |
| ТМ 20.5 | — | 2.80 35.7% |
| ТМ 21.5 | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТМ 22.5 | 2.03 49.3% | 2.02 49.5% |
| ТМ 23.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.73 57.8% |
| ТМ 24.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.06 48.5% | 2.05 48.8% |
| П2 | 1.76 56.8% | 1.75 57.1% |
Cina F. 🇮🇹
Колар З. (Чех)
Halys Q
Арнальди М. (Ита)
Шимабукуро Ш. (Япо)
Зверев А. (Гер)
Умбер У. (Фра)
Full head-to-head historyCina F. 🇮🇹 - Halys Q