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ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
15.07.2026 09:30 MSK Match prediction

Collignon R - Sonego L. 🇮🇹

Tennis ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay clay 15.07.2026 09:30 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 09:30 MSK Finished
Collignon R
Collignon R
W
Sonego L. 🇮🇹
Sonego L. 🇮🇹
W
2:0
Odds
P1 1.50 64.3% BetBoom
P2 2.70 35.7% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Collignon R — 63%

Pure model vs market (1 · Collignon R): model 51% · market 63% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Collignon R ✓ Прогноз62.5%
market63%
2 · Sonego L. 🇮🇹37.5%
market37%

Model estimate: win Collignon R 62.5%, win Sonego L. 🇮🇹 37.5%. Model favourite — Collignon R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Collignon R (odds1.48) Score 2:1 confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Коллиньон Р
  • • (Блг) — Сонего Л
  • • (Ита) (теннис)
  • • Коллиньон Р
  • • (Блг): форма ВПВВП (3-2)
  • • Сонего Л
  • • (Ита): форма ВПВВП (3-2)
  • • линия на пик П1 1.65→1.50 (укоротилась — деньги на пик)
  • • Модель ставит на Коллиньон Р
  • • (Блг): вероятность 62% против 68% по линии (кэф 1.48)
  • ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-5 пп) — прогноз информационный.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Collignon R - Sonego L. 🇮🇹 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Collignon R.

Line favourite Fonbet: Collignon R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.60
  • Glicko: Collignon R 62.5% / Sonego L. 🇮🇹 37.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 ✓ Прогноз 63.4%
2 36.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.65 ↓ 1.50
Победитель П2 2.25 ↑ 2.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Collignon R
7-3WWWLWLWWLW
scored 1.9conceded 0.7
Sonego L. 🇮🇹
5-5LWLWLLWLWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:7/7 ready

Google AI updated14.07.2026 06:55 MSK
1 64% ✓ favourite
2 36%
Score2:0 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:победа Рафаэля Коллиньона (П1).
DeepSeek updated14.07.2026 06:56 MSK
1 60% ✓ favourite
2 40%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:Победа Сонего (П2)
Per AI data Form:3-2 (W-L-W-L-W) / 3-2 (L-W-L-W-W)
ChatGPT updated14.07.2026 07:00 MSK
1 64% ✓ favourite
2 36%
Bet:1
Claude updated14.07.2026 05:52 MSK
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:П1 (победа Коллиньона)
Qwen updated14.07.2026 06:58 MSK
1 28%
2 72% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 21.5 Bet:Победа Коппеянса К. + ТМ 21.5 гейма
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated14.07.2026 05:53 MSK
1 58% ✓ favourite
2 42%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П2 (Сонего) @ 2.70
GLM 5.2 updated14.07.2026 05:55 MSK
1 64% ✓ favourite
2 36%
Score2:0 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 64% 36% 2:0 ТБ 22.5 победа Рафаэля Коллиньона (П1).
DeepSeek 60% 40% 2:1 ТБ 22.5 Победа Сонего (П2)
ChatGPT 64% 36% — — 1
Claude 65% 35% 2:0 ТМ 22.5 П1 (победа Коллиньона)
Qwen 28% 72% 2:0 ТМ 21.5 Победа Коппеянса К. + ТМ 21.5 гейма
Kimi 58% 42% 2:1 ТБ 22.5 П2 (Сонего) @ 2.70
GLM 5.2 64% 36% 2:0 ТБ 22.5 П1
Match center
Start 15.07.2026 09:30 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Collignon R - Sonego L. 🇮🇹

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Collignon R 63.8% 62.5% market and model agree
Sonego L. 🇮🇹 36.2% 37.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 62.5% / 37.5% probabilities
Rating 1,668 / 1,623 Collignon R / Sonego L. 🇮🇹
RD 166 / 177 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,336-2,001 / 1,270-1,976 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 Fonbet · no value · model 37.5%
1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 62.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -0.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
П1 -1.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
П1 -2.5 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% —
П1 -3.5 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% —
П2 +0.5 — — 2.65 37.7%
П2 +1.5 — — 2.95 33.9%
П2 +2.5 1.92 52.1% 1.96 51.0% 3.55 28.2%
П2 +3.5 1.72 58.1% 1.77 56.5% —
П2 -0.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
П2 -1.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
П2 -2.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
П2 -3.5 — — 1.52 65.8%
П2 -4.5 — — 1.27 78.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 20.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 21.5 — — 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 22.5 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 23.5 1.99 50.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.98 50.5%
ТБ 24.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 25.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 26.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 27.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
ТБ 28.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
ТМ 20.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
ТМ 22.5 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0% —
ТМ 23.5 1.76 56.8% 1.88 53.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.46 68.5% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.46 68.5%
П2 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0%
Match center
Collignon R
W
13.07 13:00 МСК ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Collignon R 2:1 Skatov T. 🇰🇿Skatov T. 🇰🇿
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Sonego L. 🇮🇹
W
13.07 09:30 МСК ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Sonego L. 🇮🇹 2:0 Schwaerzler J. J. 🇦🇹
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage