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ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
27.07.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction

Hernandez Alex - Tomic B

Tennis ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard hard 27.07.2026 23:00 UTC Finished
27.07.2026 23:00 UTC Finished
Hernandez Alex
Hernandez Alex
Tomic B
Tomic B
0:2
Odds
P1 2.65 36.5% BetBoom
P2 1.52 63.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tomic B — 62%

Pure model vs market (2 · Tomic B): model 51% · market 64% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hernandez Alex38.1%
market36%
2 · Tomic B ✓ Pick61.9%
market64%

Model estimate: win Hernandez Alex 38.1%, win Tomic B 61.9%. Model favourite — Tomic B.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tomic B (odds1.51) Score 1:2 confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Ernandes A
  • • (Mek) — Tomich B
  • • 🇦🇺 (tennis)
  • • Ernandes A
  • • (Mek): forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • Tomich B
  • • 🇦🇺: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Model backs Tomich B
  • • 🇦🇺: probability 62% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hernandez Alex - Tomic B July 27, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tomic B.

Line favourite market consensus: Tomic B. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / 2 1.52
  • Glicko: Hernandez Alex 38.1% / Tomic B 61.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 36.5%
2 ✓ Pick 63.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 27.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Hernandez Alex - Tomic B

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 61.9% fact: away hit / ROI 52.0% / Brier 0.291 / LogLoss 0.480
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.4% fact: away hit / ROI 52.0% / Brier 0.472 / LogLoss 0.665
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hernandez Alex 36.9% 38.1%
Tomic B 63.1% 61.9% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 38.1% / 61.9% probabilities
Rating 1,746 / 1,841 Hernandez Alex / Tomic B
RD 206 / 170 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,334-2,158 / 1,501-2,182 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.50 market consensus · no value · model 61.9%
1 2.57 market consensus · no value · model 38.1%
Total
Over 21.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Over 22.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.87 53.5% 1.97 50.8%
1.82 55.0% 1.77 56.5%
1.93 51.8% 1.81 55.3%
2.00 50.0% 2.01 49.8%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 21.5 1.83 54.6% 1.77 56.5%
Over 22.5 — 1.99 50.3%
Under 21.5 1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5%
Under 22.5 — 1.79 55.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
2.65 37.7% 2.48 40.3%
1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8%
Match center
Hernandez Alex
W W L L W
27.07 00:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico) - Qualifying, hard
Hernandez Alex 2:0 Magadan A. (Mek)Magadan A. (Mek)
26.07 00:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico) - Qualifying, hard
Hernandez Alex 2:0 Mekhiya N. 🇨🇴Mekhiya N. 🇨🇴
05.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bogota (Colombia), clay
Hernandez Alex 1:2 Khardt N. (Dom)Khardt N. (Dom)
30.06 16:10 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kito (Ecuador), clay
Hernandez Alex 1:2 La Serna J. M. 🇦🇷
14.06 14:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brasilia (Brazil), clay
Hernandez Alex 2:0 Miguel L. F. 🇧🇷
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Tomic B
W W W W W
25.07 23:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico) - Qualifying, hard
Tomic B 2:1 Tobon M. 🇨🇴Tobon M. 🇨🇴
19.07 21:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard
Tomic B 2:1 Layal M. 🇪🇪Layal M. 🇪🇪
18.07 21:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard
Tomic B 2:1 Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸
17.07 22:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard
Tomic B 2:0 Forbs M. 🇺🇸
16.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard
Tomic B 2:0 Makkeyb Dzh. 🇦🇺Makkeyb Dzh. 🇦🇺
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHernandez Alex - Tomic B

Hernandez Alex
0 matches total
Tomic B
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history