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ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
31.07.2026 02:00 UTC

Norrie C - Tomic B

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Norrie C — 69%

Pure model vs market (1 · Norrie C): model 42% · market 70% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Norrie C ✓ Pick68.9%
market70%
2 · Tomic B31.1%
market30%

Model estimate: win Norrie C 68.9%, win Tomic B 31.1%. Model favourite — Norrie C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Norrie C (odds1.31) Score 2:1 confidence 69%
  • • Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧 — Tomich B
  • • 🇦🇺 (tennis)
  • • Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • • Tomich B
  • • 🇦🇺: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Model backs Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: probability 69% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.31)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Norrie C - Tomic B July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Norrie C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / 2 3.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 ✓ Pick 69.5%
2 30.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard hard 31.07.2026 02:00 UTC Not started
31.07.2026 02:00 UTC Not started
Norrie C
Norrie C
W W
Tomic B
Tomic B
W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.33 73.0% BetBoom
P2 3.60 27.0% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 31.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Norrie C - Tomic B

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Norrie C 71.9% 68.9% market and model agree
Tomic B 28.1% 31.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 68.9% / 31.1% probabilities
Rating 1,537 / 1,880 Norrie C / Tomic B
RD 180 / 117 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,177-1,897 / 1,646-2,115 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.07 market consensus · no value · model 31.1%
1 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 68.9%
Total
Over 21.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Over 22.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.79 55.9%
2.05 48.8% — 2.05 48.8%
1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0%
1.72 58.1% — 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 21.5 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.76 56.8%
Over 22.5 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% —
Under 21.5 1.89 52.9% 1.97 50.8% 2.03 49.3%
Under 22.5 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1%
3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
Match center
Norrie C
W W
30.07 02:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Norrie C 2:0 Dakvort Dzh. 🇦🇺Dakvort Dzh. 🇦🇺
28.07 00:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Norrie C 2:0 Kovachevich A. 🇺🇸Kovachevich A. 🇺🇸
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Tomic B
W W
30.07 00:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Tomic B 2:0 Khachanov K. (World)Khachanov K. (World)
27.07 23:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Tomic B 2:0 Ernandes A. (Mek)Ernandes A. (Mek)
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNorrie C - Tomic B

Norrie C
0 matches total
Tomic B
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history