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ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
01.08.2026 02:00 UTC

Norrie C - Shapovalov D

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Norrie C — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Norrie C): model 54% · market 54% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Norrie C53.9%
2 · Shapovalov D46.1%

Model estimate: win Norrie C 53.9%, win Shapovalov D 46.1%. Model favourite — Norrie C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Norrie C (odds1.76) Score 2:1 confidence 54%
  • • Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧 — Shapovalov D
  • • 🇨🇦 (tennis)
  • • Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Shapovalov D
  • • 🇨🇦: forma VVVPP (3-2)
  • • Model backs Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: probability 54% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.76)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Norrie C - Shapovalov D August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Norrie C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / 2 2.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 53.6%
2 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Norrie C

no data

Shapovalov D
2-8LLLWWLLLLL
scored 0.6conceded 1.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard hard 01.08.2026 02:00 UTC Not started
01.08.2026 02:00 UTC Not started
Norrie C
Norrie C
W W W
Shapovalov D
Shapovalov D
W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.80 53.4% BetBoom
P2 2.06 46.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 01.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Norrie C - Shapovalov D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Norrie C 53.9% 53.9% market and model agree
Shapovalov D 46.1% 46.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 53.9% / 46.1% probabilities
Rating 1,850 / 1,816 Norrie C / Shapovalov D
RD 179 / 216 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,491-2,209 / 1,384-2,249 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.03 market consensus · no value · model 46.1%
1 1.76 market consensus · no value · model 53.9%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 22.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 22.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— — 1.83 54.6%
1.89 52.9% 1.97 50.8% —
— — 1.94 51.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 22.5 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.82 55.0%
Under 22.5 1.82 55.0% 1.88 53.2% 1.96 51.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2%
2.03 49.3% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Norrie C
W W W
31.07 02:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Norrie C 2:0 Tomich B. 🇦🇺Tomich B. 🇦🇺
30.07 02:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Norrie C 2:0 Dakvort Dzh. 🇦🇺Dakvort Dzh. 🇦🇺
28.07 00:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Norrie C 2:0 Kovachevich A. 🇺🇸Kovachevich A. 🇺🇸
3 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Shapovalov D
W W W
31.07 00:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Shapovalov D 2:0 Svrchina D. 🇨🇿Svrchina D. 🇨🇿
30.07 00:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Shapovalov D 2:0 Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)
29.07 00:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Shapovalov D 2:1 Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺
3 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.3 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNorrie C - Shapovalov D

Norrie C
0 matches total
Shapovalov D
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history