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ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard

1 round 29.07.2026 00:30 UTC

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 - Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦): model 43% · market 59% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦57.3%

2 · Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺42.7%

Model estimate: win Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 57.3%, win Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺 42.7%. Model favourite — Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 (odds1.69) Score 2:1 confidence 50%

• Shapovalov D
• 🇨🇦 — Khidzhikata R
• 🇦🇺 (tennis)
• Shapovalov D
• 🇨🇦: forma pp (0-2)
• Khidzhikata R
• 🇦🇺: forma VVPVP (3-2)
• Model backs Shapovalov D
• 🇨🇦: probability 50% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.69)
• no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 - Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺 July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.0%

1 59.0%

2 41.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Pobeditel P1 1.70 ↓ 1.60

Pobeditel P2 2.15 ↑ 2.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦

2-8LLLWWLLLLL

scored 0.6conceded 1.8

Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺

6-4WWLLWWLWLW

scored 1.3conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard

ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard 1-y krug hard 29.07.2026 00:30 UTC Not started

29.07.2026 00:30 UTC 1-y krug Not started

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 Canada Seed 68

Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺 Australia Seed 93

-:-

Odds

P1 1.61 59.5% BetBoom

P2 2.36 40.6% BetBoom

Stadium: Delmar Interneshnl Skul. Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Canada Country Australia

- Rating -

27 Age 25

185 Height (cm) 178

75 Weight (kg) 72

Levsha Hand Pravsha

8 Seed 1

hard Coverage hard

1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦

41% 17 / 41

41% 17 / 41

Sintetika

no data

clay

2 iz 7

grass

1 iz 4

hard

14 iz 30

Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺

44% 12 / 27

44% 12 / 27

Sintetika

no data

clay

1 iz 4

grass

3 iz 6

hard

8 iz 17

Head-to-head history

2023

ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 0

Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺 0

Match center

Stadium Delmar Interneshnl Skul.

Start 29.07.2026 00:30 UTC

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 5 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 - Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Denis Shapovalov - Rinki Khidzikata. Los-Kabos. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 58.9% 57.3% market and model agree

Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺 41.1% 42.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 57.3% / 42.7% probabilities

Rating 1,340 / 1,638 Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 / Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺

RD 299 / 162 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 743-1,937 / 1,315-1,962 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.30 Fonbet · no value · model 42.7%

1 1.60 Fonbet · no value · model 57.3%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 19.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Over 20.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
—	—	1.60 62.5%
1.82 55.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.70 58.8%
1.89 52.9%	1.93 51.8%	—
—	—	2.35 42.6%
1.92 52.1%	1.95 51.3%	2.55 39.2%
1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%	2.85 35.1%
—	—	2.20 45.5%
—	—	2.02 49.5%
—	—	1.85 54.1%
—	—	1.60 62.5%
—	—	1.38 72.5%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 19.5	—	—	1.38 72.5%
Over 20.5	—	—	1.55 64.5%
Over 21.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5	1.96 51.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5	—	—	2.15 46.5%
Over 24.5	—	—	2.25 44.4%
Over 25.5	—	—	2.45 40.8%
Over 26.5	—	—	2.80 35.7%
Under 19.5	—	—	2.80 35.7%
Under 20.5	—	—	2.30 43.5%
Under 21.5	—	—	2.02 49.5%
Under 22.5	1.79 55.9%	1.82 55.0%	1.82 55.0%
Under 23.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Under 24.5	—	—	1.58 63.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.59 62.9%	1.59 62.9%	1.60 62.5%	1.61 62.1%
	2.27 44.1%	2.36 42.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.29 43.7%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦LLWLLLLLWW

Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺LLWWWWLWLL

H2H 1-0-0

2023-01-03 · Denis Shapovalov 2:1 Rinki Khidzhikata

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.65 (Winline) · 2 2.3 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	2
Pari	1.63	2.3
Winline	1.65	2.15
Fonbet	1.63	2.3
Betcity	1.62	2.3

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦

28.07.2026 Championat

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 G. Gabriel Diallo (Canada) Q T. Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer 🇺🇸 1-y krug

0 Wins

0 Losses

- Sets won

- Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺

D D

28.07.2026 Championat

Q A. Aleks Ernandes (Mexico) LL B. Bernard Tomich (Australia) 1-y krug Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺

28.07.2026 Championat

5 K. Kemeron Norri (Velikobritaniya) A. Aleksandr Kovachevich Aleksandr Kovachevich 🇺🇸 Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺

0 Wins

0 Losses

- Sets won

- Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyShapovalov D. 🇨🇦 - Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦

0 matches total

Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2023 Adelaida-1 (m) hard 1-y krug Q R. Rinki Khidzikata Rinki Khidzikata (Australia) 1 6 4 3 7 D. Denis Shapovalov Denis Shapovalov (Canada) 2 6 ; CHAMP('tourn