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ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
quarter-final 31.07.2026 00:30 UTC

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 - Svrcina D

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 — 59%

1 · Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 ✓ Pick59.5%
market66%
2 · Svrcina D40.5%
market34%

Model estimate: win Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 59.5%, win Svrcina D 40.5%. Model favourite — Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 (odds1.39) Score 2:1 confidence 59%
  • • Shapovalov D
  • • 🇨🇦 — Svrchina D
  • • 🇨🇿 (tennis)
  • • Shapovalov D
  • • 🇨🇦: forma VVPP (2)
  • • Svrchina D
  • • 🇨🇿: forma VPPPP (1-4)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.45→1.40 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Shapovalov D
  • • 🇨🇦: probability 59% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.39)
  • • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 - Svrcina D July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / 2 2.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 ✓ Pick 65.9%
2 34.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.45 ↓ 1.40
Pobeditel P2 2.75 ↑ 3.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦
2-8LLLWWLLLLL
scored 0.6conceded 1.8
Svrcina D
5-5WWLWLWWLLL
scored 1.3conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard quarter-final hard 31.07.2026 00:30 UTC Not started
31.07.2026 00:30 UTC quarter-final Not started
Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦
Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 Canada Seed 68
W W
Svrcina D
Svrcina D Czechia Seed 116
W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.40 68.2% BetBoom
P2 3.00 31.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Canada Country Czechia
- Rating -
27 Age 23
185 Height (cm) 178
75 Weight (kg) 68
Left Hand Right
8 Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦
45% 19 / 42
45% 19 / 42
Synthetic
no data
Clay
2 of 7
Grass
1 of 4
Hard
16 of 31
Svrcina D
47% 7 / 15
47% 7 / 15
Synthetic
no data
Clay
0 of 2
Grass
0 of 1
Hard
7 of 12

Head-to-head history

0 Forma za posledniy god Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":29,"full":100,"game":"2 of 7"},{"category":"grass","value":25,"full":100,"game":"1 of 4"},{"category":"hard","value":52,"full":100,"game":"16 of 31"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":19,"game":42,"pct":"45%"}} ; Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":0,"full":100,"game":"0 of 2"},{"category":"grass","value":0,"full":100,"game":"0 of 1"},{"category":"hard","value":58,"full":100,"game":"7 of 12"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":7,"game":15,"pct":"47%"}}
Match center
Stadium Delmar Interneshnl Skul. Stadium
Start 31.07.2026 00:30 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 - Svrcina D

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Denis Shapovalov - Dalibor Svrchina. Los-Kabos. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 68.2% 59.5% market and model agree
Svrcina D 31.8% 40.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 59.5% / 40.5% probabilities
Rating 1,741 / 1,538 Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 / Svrcina D
RD 219 / 167 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,303-2,179 / 1,205-1,872 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 Fonbet · no value · model 40.5%
1 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 59.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.38 72.5% —
1.33 75.2% —
1.43 69.9% —
1.50 66.7% —
1.60 62.5% —
1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%
2.20 45.5% —
2.85 35.1% —
2.80 35.7% —
3.05 32.8% —
— 1.90 52.6%
2.60 38.5% —
2.40 41.7% —
2.20 45.5% —
1.93 51.8% —
1.60 62.5% —
1.38 72.5% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 18.5 1.35 74.1% —
Over 19.5 1.52 65.8% —
Over 20.5 1.70 58.8% —
Over 21.5 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1%
Over 22.5 2.13 47.0% —
Over 23.5 2.35 42.6% —
Over 24.5 2.50 40.0% —
Over 25.5 2.80 35.7% —
Under 18.5 2.90 34.5% —
Under 19.5 2.35 42.6% —
Under 20.5 2.02 49.5% —
Under 21.5 1.87 53.5% 1.92 52.1%
Under 22.5 1.63 61.4% —
Under 23.5 1.53 65.4% —
Under 24.5 1.47 68.0% —
Under 25.5 1.38 72.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0%
2.80 35.7% 2.70 37.0%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.51 (Winline) · 2 2.6 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.5 2.55
Winline 1.51 2.45
Fonbet 1.5 2.55
Betcity 1.5 2.6
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦
W W
30.07 00:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 2:0 Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)
29.07 00:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Shapovalov D. 🇨🇦 2:1 Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Svrcina D
W W
30.07 02:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Svrcina D 1:0 Darderi L. 🇮🇹Darderi L. 🇮🇹
29.07 02:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Svrcina D 2:1 Uolton A. 🇦🇺Uolton A. 🇦🇺
2 Wins
0 Losses
1.5 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage