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ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
1 round 28.07.2026 23:00 UTC

Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ - Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ β€” 57%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅): model 55% Β· market 58% Ξ” βˆ’3 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ ✓ Pick56.9%
2 Β· Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)43.1%

Model estimate: win Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ 56.9%, win Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek) 43.1%. Model favourite β€” Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ (odds1.54) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Shimabukuro Sh
  • • πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ β€” Pacheco Mendez R
  • • (Mek) (tennis)
  • • Shimabukuro Sh
  • • πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅: forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • Pacheco Mendez R
  • • (Mek): forma PPVV (2)
  • • Model backs Shimabukuro Sh
  • • πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅: probability 50% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.54)
  • • no edge over the line (-15 pp) β€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ - Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek) July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / 2 2.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 ✓ Pick 57.7%
2 42.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.55 ↑ 1.65
Pobeditel P2 2.50 ↓ 2.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
6-4WLLLWWLWWW
scored 1.4conceded 0.8
Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)
7-3LWWWLWWLWW
scored 1.6conceded 1.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard 1-y krug hard 28.07.2026 23:00 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 23:00 UTC 1-y krug Not started
Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Seed 94
Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)
Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek) Mexico Seed 320
-:-
Odds
P1 1.69 57.1% BetBoom
P2 2.25 42.9% BetBoom
Stadium: Delmar Interneshnl Skul. Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Japan Country Mexico
- Rating -
28 Age 21
183 Height (cm) 191
83 Weight (kg) 78
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
94 Seed 320
hard Coverage hard
C 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
38% 5 / 13
38% 5 / 13
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
3 iz 6
hard
2 iz 7
Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)
0% 0 / 1
0% 0 / 1
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
no data
hard
0 iz 1

Head-to-head history

Los-Kabos
Match center
Stadium Delmar Interneshnl Skul.
Start 28.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ - Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches So Simabukuro - Rodrigo Pacheko Mendes. Los-Kabos. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ 57.1% 56.9% market and model agree
Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek) 42.9% 43.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 56.9% / 43.1% probabilities
Rating 1,679 / 1,604 Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ / Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)
RD 141 / 198 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,397-1,960 / 1,208-2,000 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.25 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 43.1%
1 1.65 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 56.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +0.5 1.57 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.50 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 21.5 1.63 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.57 63.7%
— 1.50 66.7%
— 1.40 71.4%
— 1.65 60.6%
1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6%
— 1.95 51.3%
— 2.30 43.5%
— 3.05 32.8%
— 2.25 44.4%
1.93 51.8% 2.45 40.8%
— 2.75 36.4%
— 2.10 47.6%
— 1.95 51.3%
— 1.75 57.1%
— 1.55 64.5%
— 1.33 75.2%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — 1.50 66.7%
Over 21.5 — 1.63 61.4%
Over 22.5 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1%
Over 23.5 — 2.08 48.1%
Over 24.5 — 2.15 46.5%
Over 25.5 — 2.35 42.6%
Over 26.5 — 2.65 37.7%
Over 27.5 — 2.95 33.9%
Under 20.5 — 2.45 40.8%
Under 21.5 — 2.15 46.5%
Under 22.5 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%
Under 23.5 — 1.67 59.9%
Under 24.5 — 1.62 61.7%
Under 25.5 — 1.52 65.8%
Under 26.5 — 1.42 70.4%
Under 27.5 — 1.35 74.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.69 59.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6%
2.18 45.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5%
Match center
Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
D
28.07.2026 Championat
Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ G. Gabriel Diallo (Canada) Q T. Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)
D D
28.07.2026 Championat
Q A. Aleks Ernandes (Mexico) LL B. Bernard Tomich (Australia) 1-y krug Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)
28.07.2026 Championat
5 K. Kemeron Norri (Velikobritaniya) A. Aleksandr Kovachevich Aleksandr Kovachevich πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage