PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
2 round 30.07.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

Tomic B - Khachanov K

Tennis ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard 2-y krug hard 30.07.2026 00:30 UTC Finished
30.07.2026 00:30 UTC 2-y krug Finished
Tomic B
Tomic B Australia Seed 171
W
Khachanov K
Khachanov K Russia Seed 26
2:0
Odds
P1 3.65 26.9% BetBoom
P2 1.34 73.2% BetBoom
Stadium: Delmar Interneshnl Skul. Grendstend Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Australia Country Russia
- Rating -
33 Age 30
196 Height (cm) 198
91 Weight (kg) 87
- Hand -
L Seed 4
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Tomic B
50% 1 / 2
50% 1 / 2
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
no data
hard
1 iz 2
Khachanov K
54% 28 / 52
54% 28 / 52
Sintetika
no data
clay
7 iz 13
grass
3 iz 6
hard
18 iz 33

Head-to-head history

2011
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
  Tomic B 0
  Khachanov K 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Khachanov K — 69%

Pure model vs market (2 · Khachanov K): model 51% · market 73% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Tomic B30.9%
market27%
2 · Khachanov K ✓ Pick69.1%
market73%

Model estimate: win Tomic B 30.9%, win Khachanov K 69.1%. Model favourite — Khachanov K.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Khachanov K (odds1.25) Score 1:2 confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Tomich B
  • • 🇦🇺 — Khachanov K
  • • (World) (tennis)
  • • Tomich B
  • • 🇦🇺: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Khachanov K
  • • (World): forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Khachanov K
  • • (World): probability 52% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
  • • no edge over the line (-29 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tomic B - Khachanov K July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Khachanov K.

Line favourite Fonbet: Khachanov K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.50 / 2 1.30
  • Glicko: Tomic B 30.9% / Khachanov K 69.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 27.1%
2 ✓ Pick 72.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 3.90 ↓ 3.30
Winner 2 1.25 ↑ 1.33

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tomic B

no data

Khachanov K
6-4WLWLWWLLWW
scored 2.1conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Delmar Interneshnl Skul. Grendstend
Start 30.07.2026 00:30 UTC
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Tomic B - Khachanov K

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Bernard Tomich - Karen Khachanov. Los-Kabos. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 69.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.955 / LogLoss 1.174
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 52.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.547 / LogLoss 0.740
Championat

Match flow

Source

Interesno, chto ranshe oni nikogda drug s drugom ne igrali. Seychas 33-letniy byvshiy glavnyy talant avstraliyskogo tennisa, chetvertfinalist Uimbldona-2011 zanimaet v reytinge 171-yu strochku, a Khachanov yavlyaetsya 26-y raketkoy mira. A Karen Khachanov v Los-Kabose sygraet vpervye posle Uimbldona Shnayder, Samsonova and Kalinskaya — v odnoy polovine setki Vashingtona. Highlights turnirov nedeli Zdravstvuyte, uvazhaemye lyubiteli tennisa! Priglashaem vas na tekstovuyu translyatsiyu matches round 2a turnira ATP-250 v Los-Kabose mezhdu Karenom Khachanovym and Bernardom Tomichem. Etot poedinok postavlen vtorym zapuskom na korte Grendstend (vtorom po znachimosti) posle Games Fransisko Serundolo s Tristanom Boyerom and nachnetsya orie

14:12 Interesno, chto ranshe oni nikogda drug s drugom ne igrali. Seychas 33-letniy byvshiy glavnyy talant avstraliyskogo tennisa, chetvertfinalist Uimbldona-2011 zanimaet v reytinge 171-yu strochku, a Khachanov yavlyaetsya 26-y raketkoy mira. A Karen Khachanov v Los-Kabose sygraet vpervye posle Uimbldona Shnayder, Samsonova and Kalinskaya — v odnoy polovine setki Vashingtona. Highlights turnirov nedeli
14:11 Zdravstvuyte, uvazhaemye lyubiteli tennisa! Priglashaem vas na tekstovuyu translyatsiyu matches round 2a turnira ATP-250 v Los-Kabose mezhdu Karenom Khachanovym and Bernardom Tomichem. Etot poedinok postavlen vtorym zapuskom na korte Grendstend (vtorom po znachimosti) posle Games Fransisko Serundolo s Tristanom Boyerom and nachnetsya orientirovochno v
5:30 po moskovskomu vremeni. Ne propustite! Yarkko Nieminen ne vstretil dazhe maleyshego soprotivleniya so storony Bernarda Tomicha Chto eto bylo? Tennisisty sygrali samyy korotkiy match v istorii na «Masterse» v Mayami-2014
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tomic B 29.0% 30.9%
Khachanov K 71.0% 69.1% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 30.9% / 69.1% probabilities
Rating 1,829 / 1,934 Tomic B / Khachanov K
RD 122 / 168 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,585-2,073 / 1,599-2,270 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 69.1%
1 3.50 Fonbet · no value · model 30.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 3.60 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% —
1.66 60.2% 1.69 59.2% —
— — 3.60 27.8%
— — 4.00 25.0%
— — 1.30 76.9%
— — 1.38 72.5%
— — 1.53 65.4%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 3.60 27.8%
— — 1.25 80.0%
— — 1.20 83.3%
1.87 53.5% 1.92 52.1% —
2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 20.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 21.5 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.60 62.5%
Over 22.5 1.92 52.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.93 51.8%
Over 23.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 25.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Over 26.5 — — 2.70 37.0%
Over 27.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Under 19.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Under 21.5 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% —
Under 22.5 1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4%
1.32 75.8% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-07-30 · Bernard Tomich 2:0 Karen Khachanov
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.1 (Pari) · 2 1.26 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 4.1 1.25
Winline 3.74 1.23
Fonbet 4.1 1.25
Betcity 3.8 1.26
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

5 Eysy 4
1 Dvoynye oshibki 6
8 Vsego breyk-poyntov 4
4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 1
63 Vyigrannye Points 55
36 Points na podache 33
22 Poteryannye Points na podache 27
30 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 21
27 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 33
23 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 13
13 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 20
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 7
7 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 3
8 Geymy na podache 5
12 Vyigrannye geymy 6
5 Maks. geymov podryad 3
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Tomic B
W
27.07 23:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Tomic B 2:0 Ernandes A. (Mek)Ernandes A. (Mek)
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Khachanov K
D D
29.07.2026 Championat
D. Dalibor Svrchina (Czechia) 2 6 7 6 — A. Adam Uolton (Australia) 1 7 6 3 1-y krug Khachanov K
29.07.2026 Championat
8 D. Denis Shapovalov (Canada) 2 6 — R. Rinki Khachanov K
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTomic B - Khachanov K

Tomic B
0 matches total
Khachanov K
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2011 zanimaet v reytinge 171-yu strochku, a Khachanov yavlyaetsya 26-y raketkoy mira. A Karen Khachanov v Los-Kabose sygraet vpervye posle Uimbldona Shn