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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
2 round 05.08.2026 00:30 UTC

Darderi L - Diallo G

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Darderi L go head-to-head with Diallo G on August 5, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Darderi L — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Darderi L): model 62% · market 48% Δ +14 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Darderi L53.5%
2 · Diallo G46.5%

Model estimate: win Darderi L 53.5%, win Diallo G 46.5%. Model favourite — Darderi L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Darderi L (odds1.80) Score 2:1 confidence 54%
  • • Darderi L
  • • 🇮🇹 — Diallo G
  • • 🇨🇦 (tennis)
  • • Darderi L
  • • 🇮🇹: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Diallo G
  • • 🇨🇦: forma VVPPP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Darderi L
  • • 🇮🇹: probability 54% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.80)
  • • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Darderi L - Diallo G August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Diallo G. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / 2 1.81

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6% 3 books
1 47.5%
2 52.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Darderi L

no data

Diallo G
3-7LLLWLLLWWL
scored 0.7conceded 1.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 2-y krug hard 05.08.2026 00:30 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 00:30 UTC 2-y krug Not started
Darderi L
Darderi L Italy Seed 23
Diallo G
Diallo G Canada Seed 99
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.87 52.7% BetBoom
P2 2.08 47.3% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Italy Country Canada
- Rating -
24 Age 24
183 Height (cm) 203
82 Weight (kg) 90
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
23 Seed 99
hard Coverage hard
C 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Darderi L
54% 33 / 61
54% 33 / 61
Sintetika
no data
clay
23 iz 34
grass
1 iz 3
hard
9 iz 24
Diallo G
39% 16 / 41
39% 16 / 41
Sintetika
no data
clay
1 iz 6
grass
3 iz 7
hard
12 iz 28

Head-to-head history

Monreal
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort
Start 05.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 47.5% @ 2.00 / 2 52.5% @ 1.81
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Darderi L - Diallo G

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Luchano Darderi - Gabriel Diallo. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Darderi L 52.6% 53.5% market and model agree
Diallo G 47.4% 46.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 53.5% / 46.5% probabilities
Rating 1,769 / 1,490 Darderi L / Diallo G
RD 143 / 169 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,482-2,056 / 1,151-1,829 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.80 market consensus · no value · model 46.5%
1 1.99 market consensus · value +6.5% · model 53.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 23.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Under 23.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.89 52.9% — 1.92 52.1%
— 1.76 56.8% —
1.97 50.8% — 1.94 51.6%
— 2.12 47.2% —
1.82 55.0% — 1.83 54.6%
— 1.72 58.1% —
1.89 52.9% — 1.86 53.8%
— 2.07 48.3% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 23.5 1.96 51.0% 1.97 50.8% 1.96 51.0%
Under 23.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5%
1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.9 (Pari) · 2 1.92 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.9 1.9
Winline 1.88 1.92
Fonbet 1.9 1.9
Betcity 1.9 1.9
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Darderi L
D
04.08.2026 Championat
Darderi L K. Kamil Maykhshak (Poland) 0 4 WC G. Gael Monfis (France) 2 6 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Diallo G
W
03.08 19:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
Diallo G 2:1 Zhake K. 🇫🇷Zhake K. 🇫🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDarderi L - Diallo G

Darderi L
0 matches total
Diallo G
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Monreal