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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
2nd round 05.08.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction

Fearnley J - Mensik J

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 2nd round 05.08.2026 22:00 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 22:00 UTC 2nd round Finished
Fearnley J
Fearnley J Velikobritaniya
W
Mensik J
Mensik J Czechia
1:2
Odds
P1 3.80 25.1% BetBoom
P2 1.27 75.0% BetBoom
Preview

About the athletes

Velikobritaniya Country Czechia
- Rating -
25 Age 20
183 Height (cm) 196
80 Weight (kg) 87
Right Hand Right
Q Seed 13
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Fearnley J
26% 5 / 19
26% 5 / 19
Synthetic
no data
Clay
0 of 2
Grass
1 of 2
Hard
4 of 15
Mensik J
62% 32 / 52
62% 32 / 52
Synthetic
no data
Clay
8 of 12
Grass
1 of 3
Hard
23 of 37

Head-to-head history

0 Forma za posledniy god Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":0,"full":100,"game":"0 of 2"},{"category":"grass","value":50,"full":100,"game":"1 of 2"},{"category":"hard","value":27,"full":100,"game":"4 of 15"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":5,"game":19,"pct":"26%"}} ; Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":67,"full":100,"game":"8 of 12"},{"category":"grass","value":33,"full":100,"game":"1 of 3"},{"category":"hard","value":62,"full":100,"game":"23 of 37"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":32,"game":52,"pct":"62%"}}

Fearnley J take on Mensik J on August 5, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 27% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mensik J — 73%

Pure model vs market (2 · Mensik J): model 52% · market 68% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Fearnley J27.3%
market32%
2 · Mensik J ✓ Pick72.7%
market68%

Model estimate: win Fearnley J 27.3%, win Mensik J 72.7%. Model favourite — Mensik J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Mensik J (odds1.28) Score 0:2 confidence 73% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Firnli Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧 — Menshik Ya
  • • 🇨🇿 (tennis)
  • • Firnli Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Menshik Ya
  • • 🇨🇿: forma PVPVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Menshik Ya
  • • 🇨🇿: probability 73% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fearnley J - Mensik J August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mensik J.

Line favourite market consensus: Mensik J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.95 / 2 1.41
  • Glicko: Fearnley J 27.3% / Mensik J 72.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 3 books
1 32.2%
2 ✓ Pick 67.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Fearnley J
6-4WWLLLLWWWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.3
Mensik J
7-3WLWWWWWLLW
scored 2.2conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort
Start 05.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 32.3% @ 2.95 / 2 67.7% @ 1.41
Form 6 matches
Match center

Fearnley J - Mensik J

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Dzheykob Firnli - Yakub Menshik, 06 avgusta 2026. Monreal. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Dzheykob Firnli - Yakub Menshik, kto pobedil.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fearnley J 25.1% 27.3%
Mensik J 75.0% 72.7% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 27.3% / 72.7% probabilities
Rating 1,745 / 1,872 Fearnley J / Mensik J
RD 122 / 144 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,501-1,988 / 1,583-2,161 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 72.7%
1 2.93 market consensus · no value · model 27.3%
Total
Over 21.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Over 22.5 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
1.74 57.5% — 1.74 57.5%
1.94 51.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.90 52.6%
2.07 48.3% — 2.06 48.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5% 1.94 51.6%
Under 21.5 1.99 50.3% 2.03 49.3% 1.98 50.5%
Under 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.95 33.9% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%
1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Fearnley J
W
04.08 16:35 UTC ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
Fearnley J 2:0 Mannarino A. 🇫🇷Mannarino A. 🇫🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Mensik J
L W L W L
30.07 12:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Mensik J 1:2 Nakasima B. 🇺🇸Nakasima B. 🇺🇸
28.07 18:45 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Mensik J 2:1 Svajda T. 🇺🇸Svajda T. 🇺🇸
02.07 13:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Mensik J 1:3 Dimitrov G. 🇧🇴Dimitrov G. 🇧🇴
30.06 11:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Mensik J 3:2 Samuel T. 🇬🇧Samuel T. 🇬🇧
05.06 10:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Mensik J 1:3 Zverev A. 🇩🇪Zverev A. 🇩🇪
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.6 Sets won
2.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFearnley J - Mensik J

Fearnley J
0 matches total
Mensik J
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history