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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
1 round 04.08.2026 16:35 UTC Match prediction

Fearnley J - Mannarino A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 16:35 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 16:35 UTC 1-y krug Finished
Fearnley J
Fearnley J Velikobritaniya Seed 110
W L W W W
Mannarino A
Mannarino A France Seed 47
L W L W L
2:0 7:6 6:4
1 2 GP
Fearnley J 7 6 2
Mannarino A 6 4 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.56 85.9% BetBoom
P2 9.50 14.1% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Velikobritaniya Country France
- Rating -
25 Age 38
183 Height (cm) 180
80 Weight (kg) 79
Pravsha Hand Levsha
Q Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Fearnley J
22% 4 / 18
22% 4 / 18
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 2
grass
1 iz 2
hard
3 iz 14
Mannarino A
43% 20 / 46
43% 20 / 46
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 7
grass
5 iz 9
hard
15 iz 30

Head-to-head history

Taymlayn Dzheykob Firnli 1:0 Dzheykob Firnli 2:0 Adrian Mannarino 2:1 Dzheykob Firnli 3:1 Adrian Mannarino 3:2 Adrian Mannarino 3 Adrian Mannarino 3:4 Dzheykob Firnli 4 Adrian Mannarino 4:5 Dzheykob Firnli 5 Dzheykob Firnli 6:5 Adrian Mannarino 6 Dzheykob Firnli 7:6 Dzheykob Firnli 1

Fearnley J take on Mannarino A on August 4, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fearnley J 4-0-1, Mannarino A 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 61% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Fearnley J — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Fearnley J): model 58% · market 61% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Fearnley J ✓ Pick61.1%
market61%
2 · Mannarino A38.9%
market39%

Model estimate: win Fearnley J 61.1%, win Mannarino A 38.9%. Model favourite — Fearnley J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Fearnley J (odds1.54) Score 2:1 confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Firnli Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧 — Mannarino A
  • • 🇫🇷 (tennis)
  • • Firnli Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Mannarino A
  • • 🇫🇷: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.55→1.53 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Firnli Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧: probability 61% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.54)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fearnley J - Mannarino A August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fearnley J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fearnley J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 9.50
  • Glicko: Fearnley J 61.1% / Mannarino A 38.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 61.4%
2 38.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.55 ↓ 1.05
Winner 2 2.45 ↑ 9.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Fearnley J
6-4WWLLLLWWWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.3
Mannarino A
5-5LLWWWLWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 21:18 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1
Claude updated03.08.2026 21:22 UTC
1 64% ✓ favourite
2 36%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Over 21.5 games (chistyy 1 po 1.56 bez tsennosti — implayd 64.1% raven moey otsenke)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 65% 35% 2:0 Under 22.5
Claude 64% 36% 2:0 Over 21.5 Over 21.5 games (chistyy 1 po 1.56 bez tsennosti — implayd 64.1% raven moey otsenke)
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort
Start 04.08.2026 16:35 UTC
Market 1 90.0% @ 1.05 / 2 10.0% @ 9.50
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Fearnley J 65%
📐 Math model Fearnley J 61%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Fearnley J - Mannarino A

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Dzheykob Firnli - Adrian Mannarino, 04 avgusta 2026. Monreal. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Dzheykob Firnli - Adrian Mannarino, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Fearnley J Mannarino A Result
Set 1 7 6 7:6
Set 2 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 61.1% fact: home hit / ROI 56.0% / Brier 0.302 / LogLoss 0.492
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.3% fact: home hit / ROI 56.0% / Brier 0.474 / LogLoss 0.667
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fearnley J 61.4% 61.1% market and model agree
Mannarino A 38.6% 38.9%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.1% / 38.9% probabilities
Rating 1,734 / 1,571 Fearnley J / Mannarino A
RD 127 / 138 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,480-1,988 / 1,296-1,846 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · no value · model 38.9%
1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 61.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 8.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.04 96.2%
— — 1.05 95.2%
1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.30 76.9%
— — 3.30 30.3%
— — 4.40 22.7%
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 2.75 36.4%
1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 3.05 32.8%
— — 8.00 12.5%
— — 7.10 14.1%
— — 3.30 30.3%
— — 1.30 76.9%
— — 1.17 85.5%
— — 1.58 63.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 20.5 — — 1.57 63.7%
Over 21.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 1.40 71.4%
Over 23.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 24.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 25.5 — — 2.95 33.9%
Over 26.5 — — 4.80 20.8%
Over 28.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 29.5 — — 2.05 48.8%
Over 30.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 31.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
Under 19.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 20.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Under 22.5 1.79 55.9% 1.79 55.9% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.55 64.5% 1.54 64.9% 1.05 95.2% 1.56 64.1%
2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5% 9.50 10.5% 2.39 41.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-04 · Dzheykob Firnli 2:0 Adrian Mannarino
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.56 (Winline) · 2 2.48 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.55 2.45
Winline 1.56 2.42
Fonbet 1.55 2.45
Betcity 1.54 2.48
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

6 Eysy 2
7 Dvoynye oshibki 7
9 Vsego breyk-poyntov 5
4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3
74 Vyigrannye Points 67
41 Points na podache 44
23 Poteryannye Points na podache 33
33 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 35
24 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 35
25 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 26
16 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 18
8 Maks. ochkov podryad 7
6 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 4
8 Geymy na podache 7
13 Vyigrannye geymy 10
2 Maks. geymov podryad 3
1 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Fearnley J
W L W W W
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Fearnley J Fearnley J 2:0 Ofner S
2026-07-26 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Fearnley J Michelsen A 2:0 Fearnley J
2026-07-25 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Fearnley J Fearnley J 2:0 Zheng Michael
2026-07-24 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Fearnley J Fearnley J 2:1 Wolf J J
2026-07-23 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Fearnley J Fearnley J 2:0 Boyer T
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Mannarino A
L W L W L
2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA
Michelsen A 2:0 Mannarino A Mannarino A
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Mannarino A 2:0 Tien L Mannarino A
2026-07-09 2026 Newport, USA
Mannarino A 1:2 Galarneau A Mannarino A
2026-07-08 2026 Newport, USA
Mannarino A 2:0 Bertola R Mannarino A
2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
De Minaur A 3:0 Mannarino A Mannarino A
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFearnley J - Mannarino A

Fearnley J
0 matches total
Mannarino A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Taymlayn Dzheykob Firnli 1:0 Dzheykob Firnli 2:0 Adrian Mannarino 2:1 Dzheykob Firnli 3:1 Adrian Mannarino 3:2 Adrian Mannarino 3 Adrian Mannarino 3:4 Dzheykob Firnli 4 Adrian Mannarino 4:5 Dzheykob Firnli 5 Dzheykob Firnli 6:5 Adrian Mannarino 6 Dzheykob Firnli 7:6 Dzheykob Firnli 1