Fearnley J face Mannarino A on August 3, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.
Recent form (W-D-L): Fearnley J 4-0-1, Mannarino A 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Fearnley J — 61%
Pure model vs market (1 · Fearnley J): model 58% · market 61%Δ −3 ppmodel estimates below the market
61%1
1 · Fearnley J ✓ Pick61.0%
market61%
2 · Mannarino A39.0%
market39%
Model estimate: win Fearnley J 61.0%, win Mannarino A 39.0%. Model favourite — Fearnley J.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Fearnley J (odds1.54)Score 2:1confidence 61%
•Firnli Dzh
•🇬🇧 — Mannarino A
•🇫🇷 (tennis)
•Firnli Dzh
•🇬🇧: forma VVVVV (5-0)
•Mannarino A
•🇫🇷: forma PVPPV (2-3)
•liniya na pik P1 1.55→1.53 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
•Model backs Firnli Dzh
•🇬🇧: probability 61% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.54)
•no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fearnley J - Mannarino A August 3, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Fearnley J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / 2 2.45
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 ✓ Pick61.3%
238.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.55→ 1.55
Winner P22.45→ 2.45
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Fearnley J
6-4WWLLLLWWWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.3
Mannarino A
5-5LLWWWLWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
TennisATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard1-y krughard03.08.2026 18:00 UTCNot started
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Fearnley J61.3%61.0%market and model agree
Mannarino A38.8%39.0%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P261.0% / 39.0%
probabilities
Rating1,734 / 1,571
Fearnley J / Mannarino A
RD127 / 138
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,480-1,987 / 1,296-1,846
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.45
Fonbet · no value · model 39.0%
11.55
Fonbet · no value · model 61.0%
Handicap
2 -0.52.30
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.51.55
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.51.55
Fonbet · line only
Over 21.51.72
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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