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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
05.08.2026 21:00 UTC

Fearnley J - Mensik J

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Fearnley J take on Mensik J on August 5, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mensik J — 73%

Pure model vs market (2 · Mensik J): model 52% · market 72% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Fearnley J27.3%
market28%
2 · Mensik J ✓ Pick72.7%
market72%

Model estimate: win Fearnley J 27.3%, win Mensik J 72.7%. Model favourite — Mensik J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Mensik J (odds1.28) Score 0:2 confidence 73%
  • • Firnli Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧 — Menshik Ya
  • • 🇨🇿 (tennis)
  • • Firnli Dzh
  • • 🇬🇧: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Menshik Ya
  • • 🇨🇿: forma PVPVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Menshik Ya
  • • 🇨🇿: probability 73% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fearnley J - Mensik J August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Mensik J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.50 / 2 1.33

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5% 2 books · best price +1.1%
1 27.9%
2 ✓ Pick 72.1%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Fearnley J
6-4WWLLLLWWWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.3
Mensik J
7-3WLWWWWWLLW
scored 2.2conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 05.08.2026 21:00 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 21:00 UTC Not started
Fearnley J
Fearnley J
W
Mensik J
Mensik J
-:-
Odds
P1 3.80 25.1% BetBoom
P2 1.27 75.0% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 05.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 27.5% @ 3.50 / 2 72.5% @ 1.33
Form 6 matches
Match center

Fearnley J - Mensik J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fearnley J 25.1% 27.3%
Mensik J 75.0% 72.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 27.3% / 72.7% probabilities
Rating 1,745 / 1,872 Fearnley J / Mensik J
RD 122 / 144 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,501-1,988 / 1,583-2,161 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 72.7%
1 3.40 market consensus · no value · model 27.3%
Total
Over 21.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 21.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6%
1.74 57.5% —
1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5%
2.07 48.3% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 21.5 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
Under 21.5 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6%
1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Fearnley J
W
04.08 16:35 UTC ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
Fearnley J 2:0 Mannarino A. 🇫🇷Mannarino A. 🇫🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Mensik J
L W L W L
30.07 12:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Mensik J 1:2 Nakasima B. 🇺🇸Nakasima B. 🇺🇸
28.07 18:45 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Mensik J 2:1 Svajda T. 🇺🇸Svajda T. 🇺🇸
02.07 13:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Mensik J 1:3 Dimitrov G. 🇧🇴Dimitrov G. 🇧🇴
30.06 11:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Mensik J 3:2 Samuel T. 🇬🇧Samuel T. 🇬🇧
05.06 10:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Mensik J 1:3 Zverev A. 🇩🇪Zverev A. 🇩🇪
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.6 Sets won
2.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFearnley J - Mensik J

Fearnley J
0 matches total
Mensik J
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history