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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
2 round 05.08.2026 21:00 UTC

Humbert U - Merida Aguilar D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Humbert U face Merida Aguilar D on August 5, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Humbert U 2-0-3, Merida Aguilar D 4-0-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Humbert U — 50%

1 · Humbert U50.3%
2 · Merida Aguilar D49.7%

Model estimate: win Humbert U 50.3%, win Merida Aguilar D 49.7%. Model favourite — Humbert U.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Humbert U (odds1.35) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Umber U
  • • 🇫🇷 — Merida Agilar D
  • • 🇪🇸 (tennis)
  • • Umber U
  • • 🇫🇷: forma V (1-0)
  • • Merida Agilar D
  • • 🇪🇸: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Umber U
  • • 🇫🇷: probability 50% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.35)
  • • no edge over the line (-24 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Humbert U - Merida Aguilar D August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Humbert U. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8% 4 books · best price +1.1%
1 67.7%
2 32.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Humbert U

no data

Merida Aguilar D
5-5LWWLLLWWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 2 round hard 05.08.2026 21:00 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 21:00 UTC 2 round Not started
Humbert U
Humbert U France Seed 28
L W L L W
Merida Aguilar D
Merida Aguilar D Spain Seed 63
W L W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.35 70.0% BetBoom
P2 3.15 30.0% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

France Country Spain
- Rating -
28 Age 21
188 Height (cm) 188
73 Weight (kg) 80
Left Hand Right
28 Seed 63
hard Coverage hard
D 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Humbert U
57% 34 / 60
57% 34 / 60
Synthetic
no data
Clay
5 of 10
Grass
8 of 12
Hard
21 of 38
Merida Aguilar D
65% 13 / 20
65% 13 / 20
Synthetic
no data
Clay
11 of 16
Grass
1 of 2
Hard
1 of 2

Head-to-head history

0 Forma za posledniy god Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":50,"full":100,"game":"5 of 10"},{"category":"grass","value":67,"full":100,"game":"8 of 12"},{"category":"hard","value":55,"full":100,"game":"21 of 38"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":34,"game":60,"pct":"57%"}} ; Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":69,"full":100,"game":"11 of 16"},{"category":"grass","value":50,"full":100,"game":"1 of 2"},{"category":"hard","value":50,"full":100,"game":"1 of 2"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":13,"game":20,"pct":"65%"}}
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Devyatyy kort
Start 05.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 67.4% @ 1.40 / 2 32.6% @ 2.90
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Humbert U - Merida Aguilar D

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Ugo Umber - Daniel Merida-Agilar. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Humbert U 70.0% 50.3% market and model agree
Merida Aguilar D 30.0% 49.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,658 / 1,711 Humbert U / Merida Aguilar D
RD 295 / 136 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,068-2,249 / 1,438-1,983 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 Fonbet · weak value +44.0% · model 49.7%
1 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 50.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.48 67.6%
— — 1.60 62.5%
1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
— — 2.25 44.4%
— — 3.10 32.3%
— — 2.95 33.9%
— — 3.25 30.8%
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 2.70 37.0%
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.32 75.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.43 69.9%
Over 20.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0%
Over 22.5 1.99 50.3% 2.04 49.0% 2.02 49.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 24.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 25.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.95 33.9%
Under 19.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Under 20.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 21.5 1.98 50.5% 1.96 51.0% —
Under 22.5 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.41 70.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9%
2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.43 (Betcity) · 2 3.15 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.35 3.15
Winline 1.36 3.15
Fonbet 1.35 3.15
Betcity 1.43 2.85
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Humbert U
L W L L W
2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA
Humbert U Humbert U 1:2 Shelton B
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Humbert U Humbert U 2:0 Martin Andres
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Humbert U Humbert U 2:3 Bergs Z
2026-06-27 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Humbert U Bergs Z 2:1 Humbert U
2026-06-26 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Humbert U Draper J 0:2 Humbert U
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Merida Aguilar D
W L W W W
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Merida Aguilar D 2:1 Draxl L Merida Aguilar D
2026-07-21 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Merida Aguilar D 1:2 Jacquet K Merida Aguilar D
2026-07-18 2026 Umag, Croatia
Merida Aguilar D 2:1 Dzumhur D Merida Aguilar D
2026-07-17 2026 Umag, Croatia
Burruchaga R A 0:2 Merida Aguilar D Merida Aguilar D
2026-07-16 2026 Umag, Croatia
Merida Aguilar D 2:0 Droguet T Merida Aguilar D
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage