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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard

Mejia N - Musetti L

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction

Mejia N go head-to-head with Musetti L on August 6, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Musetti L58%

1 · Mejia N41.9%
market15%
2 · Musetti L ✓ Pick58.1%
market85%

Model estimate: win Mejia N 41.9%, win Musetti L 58.1%. Model favourite — Musetti L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mejia N - Musetti L August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Musetti L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 6.50 / 2 1.12

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5% 3 books
1 15.1%
2 ✓ Pick 84.9%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 2-y krug hard 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
06.08.2026 14:00 UTC 2-y krug Not started
Mejia N
Mejia N Colombia Seed 131
Musetti L
Musetti L Italy Seed 15
-:-
Odds
P1 6.20 15.2% BetBoom
P2 1.11 84.8% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Colombia Country Italy
- Rating -
26 Age 24
183 Height (cm) 185
79 Weight (kg) 78
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
Q Seed 11
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Mejia N
67% 2 / 3
67% 2 / 3
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
1 iz 2
hard
1 iz 1
Musetti L
64% 34 / 53
64% 34 / 53
Sintetika
no data
clay
6 iz 10
grass
no data
hard
28 iz 43

Head-to-head history

Monreal
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium.
Start 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 14.7% @ 6.50 / 2 85.3% @ 1.12
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Mejia N - Musetti L

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Nikolas Mekhiya - Lorentso Muzetti. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mejia N 15.2% 41.9%
Musetti L 84.8% 58.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 41.9% / 58.1% probabilities
Rating 1,427 / 1,782 Mejia N / Musetti L
RD 181 / 192 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,066-1,788 / 1,398-2,166 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 58.1%
1 6.27 market consensus · no value · model 41.9%
Total
Over 20.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.76 56.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.69 59.2%
2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.13 47.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 20.5 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0%
Under 20.5 1.78 56.2% 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
6.30 15.9% 6.50 15.4% 6.00 16.7%
1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Mejia N
D
04.08.2026 Championat
Mejia N A. Aleksandr Kovachevich Aleksandr Kovachevich 🇺🇸 1 7 2 4 N. Nunu Borzhesh (Portugal) 2 6 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Musetti L
D D
03.08.2026 Championat
D. Dzheyms Dakvort (Australia) 2 6 Q K. Kristofer O'Konnell (Australia) 0 3 1-y krug Musetti L
03.08.2026 Championat
L. Lyuka Van Ash (France) 1 4 6 Q T. Tituan Musetti L
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMejia N - Musetti L

Mejia N
0 matches total
Musetti L
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Monreal