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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
02.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Merida Aguilar D - Draxl L

Merida Aguilar D go head-to-head with Draxl L on August 2, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Draxl L — 51%

1 · Merida Aguilar D48.9%
2 · Draxl L51.1%

Model estimate: win Merida Aguilar D 48.9%, win Draxl L 51.1%. Model favourite — Draxl L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Draxl L (odds2.39) Score 1:2 confidence 51%
  • • Merida Agilar D
  • • 🇪🇸 — Draksl L
  • • 🇨🇦 (tennis)
  • • Merida Agilar D
  • • 🇪🇸: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • • Draksl L
  • • 🇨🇦: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Model backs Draksl L
  • • 🇨🇦: probability 51% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.39)
  • • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Merida Aguilar D - Draxl L August 2, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Merida Aguilar D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.71 / 2 2.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.1%
1 55.1%
2 44.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Merida Aguilar D
5-5LWWLLLWWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.3
Draxl L

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard hard 02.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
02.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
Merida Aguilar D
Merida Aguilar D
Draxl L
Draxl L
-:-
Odds
P1 1.71 55.1% BetBoom
P2 2.10 44.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 02.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 55.1% @ 1.71 / 2 44.9% @ 2.10
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Merida Aguilar D - Draxl L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Merida Aguilar D 55.1% 48.9% market favourite
Draxl L 44.9% 51.1% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 48.9% / 51.1% probabilities
Rating 1,685 / 1,775 Merida Aguilar D / Draxl L
RD 145 / 122 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,395-1,975 / 1,530-2,020 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 market consensus · value +7.4% · model 51.1%
1 1.71 market consensus · no value · model 48.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 22.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Over 23.5 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.86 53.8%
1.92 52.1%
1.93 51.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.86 53.8%
1.84 54.4%
1.83 54.6%
1.92 52.1%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 22.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 23.5 1.91 52.4%
Under 22.5 1.98 50.5%
Under 23.5 1.86 53.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.71 58.5%
2.10 47.6%
Match center
Merida Aguilar D
L W W W L
21.07 10:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Eshtoril (Portugal), clay
Merida Aguilar D 1:2 Zhake K. 🇫🇷Zhake K. 🇫🇷
17.07 06:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
Merida Aguilar D 2:0 Burruchaga R. A. 🇦🇷Burruchaga R. A. 🇦🇷
15.07 06:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
Merida Aguilar D 2:0 Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷
14.07 14:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
Merida Aguilar D 2:0 Sesko Z. 🇸🇮Sesko Z. 🇸🇮
01.07 09:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Merida Aguilar D 1:3 Medvedev D. (World)Medvedev D. (World)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Draxl L
W W W W L
25.07 17:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Draxl L 2:0 Mochizuki Sh. 🇯🇵Mochizuki Sh. 🇯🇵
24.07 21:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Draxl L 2:0 Chidekh C. 🇫🇷
23.07 21:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Draxl L 2:1 Kholmgren A. 🇩🇰Kholmgren A. 🇩🇰
21.07 20:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Draxl L 2:0 Khurrion M. 🇬🇧Khurrion M. 🇬🇧
17.07 16:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard
Draxl L 1:2 Gea A. 🇫🇷Gea A. 🇫🇷
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMerida Aguilar D - Draxl L

Merida Aguilar D
0 matches total
Draxl L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history