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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard

1 round 03.08.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

Michelsen A - Struff J-L

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard

ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 1-y krug hard 03.08.2026 20:00 UTC Finished

03.08.2026 20:00 UTC 1-y krug Finished

Michelsen A USA Seed 40

Struff J-L Germany Seed 42

2:1

Odds

P1 1.34 71.1% BetBoom

P2 3.30 28.9% BetBoom

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Devyatyy kort Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country Germany

- Rating -

21 Age 36

193 Height (cm) 193

79 Weight (kg) 92

Pravsha Hand Pravsha

40 Seed 42

hard Coverage hard

1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Michelsen A

50% 24 / 48

50% 24 / 48

Sintetika

no data

clay

6 iz 12

grass

0 iz 1

hard

18 iz 35

Struff J-L

46% 16 / 35

46% 16 / 35

Sintetika

no data

clay

4 iz 9

grass

6 iz 9

hard

6 iz 17

Head-to-head history

2026

ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard

Michelsen A 0

Struff J-L 0

Michelsen A meet Struff J-L on August 3, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 70% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Michelsen A — 70%

Pure model vs market (1 · Michelsen A): model 57% · market 71% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Michelsen A ✓ Pick69.6%

market71%

2 · Struff J-L30.4%

market29%

Model estimate: win Michelsen A 69.6%, win Struff J-L 30.4%. Model favourite — Michelsen A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Michelsen A (odds1.32) Score 2:1 confidence 58% ✓ outcome correct · exact score

• Mikelsen A
• 🇺🇸 — Shtruff Ya-L
• 🇩🇪 (tennis)
• Mikelsen A
• 🇺🇸: forma PVVVV (4-1)
• Shtruff Ya-L
• 🇩🇪: forma PVVVV (4-1)
• Model backs Mikelsen A
• 🇺🇸: probability 58% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.32)
• no edge over the line (-18 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Michelsen A - Struff J-L August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Michelsen A.

Line favourite market consensus: Michelsen A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / 2 3.30
Glicko: Michelsen A 69.6% / Struff J-L 30.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 3 books

1 ✓ Pick 71.0%

2 29.0%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Michelsen A

no data

Struff J-L

6-4LWLWLWLWWW

scored 1.7conceded 1.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Devyatyy kort

Start 03.08.2026 20:00 UTC

Market 1 71.1% @ 1.34 / 2 28.9% @ 3.30

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 7 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Michelsen A - Struff J-L

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Aleks Mikhelsen - Yan-Lennard Shtruff. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 69.6% fact: home hit / ROI 34.0% / Brier 0.185 / LogLoss 0.362

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 52.4% fact: home hit / ROI 34.0% / Brier 0.454 / LogLoss 0.647

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Michelsen A 71.0% 69.6% market and model agree

Struff J-L 29.0% 30.4%

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 69.6% / 30.4% probabilities

Rating 1,776 / 1,639 Michelsen A / Struff J-L

RD 123 / 146 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,529-2,022 / 1,348-1,930 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.27 market consensus · no value · model 30.4%

1 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 69.6%

Total

Over 21.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Over 22.5 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.87 53.5%	1.90 52.6%	1.75 57.1%
	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	2.05 48.8%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
Over 21.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%
Over 22.5	1.97 50.8%	1.94 51.6%	2.00 50.0%
Under 21.5	—	—	1.95 51.3%
Under 22.5	1.82 55.0%	1.86 53.8%	1.79 55.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.34 74.6%	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%
	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.25 30.8%

Match center

Michelsen A

02.08.2026 Championat

Michelsen A Kh. Khaume Munar Khaume Munar (Spain) 2 7 6 — R. Rinki Khidzikata (Australia) 0 6 3 1-y krug

0 Wins

0 Losses

- Sets won

- Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Struff J-L

D D

02.08.2026 Championat

A. Adolfo Daniel Valekho (Paraguay) 0 3 SR Ts. Tszyunchen Shan Tszyunchen Shan (China) 2 6 1-y krug Struff J-L

03.08.2026 Championat

M. Matteo Berrettini (Italy) M. Struff J-L

0 Wins

0 Losses

- Sets won

- Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMichelsen A - Struff J-L

Michelsen A

0 matches total

Struff J-L

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2026 Madrid (m) clay 2-y krug Ya. Yan-Lennard Shtruff Yan-Lennard Shtruff (Germany) 0 2 1 33 A. Aleks Mikhelsen Aleks Mikhelsen 🇺🇸 2 6 ; CHAMP('tournamentTab