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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
1 round 03.08.2026 21:00 UTC

Mochizuki S - Marozsan F

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Mochizuki S go head-to-head with Marozsan F on August 3, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mochizuki S 3-0-2, Marozsan F 3-0-2. Full analysis β€” form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction β€” follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Marozsan F β€” 61%

Pure model vs market (2 Β· Marozsan F): model 36% Β· market 64% Ξ” βˆ’28 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Mochizuki S38.8%
market36%
2 Β· Marozsan F ✓ Pick61.2%
market64%

Model estimate: win Mochizuki S 38.8%, win Marozsan F 61.2%. Model favourite β€” Marozsan F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Marozsan F (odds1.45) Score 1:2 confidence 63%
  • • Mochizuki Sh
  • • πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ β€” Marozhan F
  • • πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί (tennis)
  • • Mochizuki Sh
  • • πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Marozhan F
  • • πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί: forma PPPP (0-4)
  • • Model backs Marozhan F
  • • πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί: probability 63% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) β€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mochizuki S - Marozsan F August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Marozsan F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.70 / 2 1.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2% 2 books Β· best price +1.4%
1 35.9%
2 ✓ Pick 64.1%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.70 β†’ 2.70
Winner P2 1.45 β†’ 1.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mochizuki S
8-2LWWLWWWWWW
scored 2.1conceded 0.9
Marozsan F
4-6WLWLWLWLLL
scored 1.0conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 1-y krug hard 03.08.2026 21:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 21:00 UTC 1-y krug Not started
Mochizuki S
Mochizuki S Japan
W L W L W
Marozsan F
Marozsan F Hungary
L W L W W
-:-
Odds
P1 2.70 35.6% BetBoom
P2 1.49 64.4% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Japan Country Hungary
- Rating -
23 Age 26
175 Height (cm) 193
70 Weight (kg) 75
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
Q Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Mochizuki S
43% 6 / 14
43% 6 / 14
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
3 iz 4
hard
3 iz 10
Marozsan F
47% 21 / 45
47% 21 / 45
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 11
grass
4 iz 9
hard
12 iz 25

Head-to-head history

Monreal
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort
Start 03.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 34.9% @ 2.70 / 2 65.1% @ 1.45
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 7 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Mochizuki S - Marozsan F

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Sintaro Mochizuki - Fabian Marozhan. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mochizuki S 35.9% 38.8%
Marozsan F 64.1% 61.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 38.8% / 61.2% probabilities
Rating 1,702 / 1,233 Mochizuki Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ / Marozhan F. πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί
RD 123 / 207 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,455-1,948 / 819-1,648 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 61.2%
1 2.70 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 38.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.40 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +0.5 1.45 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -0.5 2.75 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +0.5 2.50 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.43 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 20.5 1.60 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.50 40.0% —
2.30 43.5% —
2.10 47.6% —
1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3%
1.52 65.8% —
1.30 76.9% —
2.75 36.4% —
3.00 33.3% —
1.45 69.0% —
1.55 64.5% —
1.65 60.6% —
1.93 51.8% —
2.35 42.6% —
3.20 31.3% —
1.40 71.4% —
1.35 74.1% —
— 1.98 50.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 1.43 69.9% —
Over 20.5 1.60 62.5% —
Over 21.5 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 2.02 49.5% 2.02 49.5%
Over 23.5 2.25 44.4% —
Over 24.5 2.35 42.6% —
Over 25.5 2.60 38.5% —
Over 26.5 2.95 33.9% —
Under 19.5 2.60 38.5% —
Under 20.5 2.20 45.5% —
Under 21.5 2.00 50.0% —
Under 22.5 1.70 58.8% —
Under 23.5 1.58 63.3% —
Under 24.5 1.53 65.4% —
Under 25.5 1.45 69.0% —
Under 26.5 1.35 74.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.70 37.0% 2.55 39.2%
1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Mochizuki S
W L W L W
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 2:1 Sweeny D
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 0:2 Matsuoka H
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 2:1 Broom C
2026-07-25 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 0:2 Draxl L
2026-07-24 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 2:0 Monday J
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Marozsan F
L W L W W
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Davidovich Fokina A 3:0 Marozsan F Marozsan F
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Tirante T A 0:3 Marozsan F Marozsan F
2026-06-26 2026 Mallorca, Spain
Marozsan F 1:2 Davidovich Fokina A Marozsan F
2026-06-25 2026 Mallorca, Spain
Kecmanovic M 0:2 Marozsan F Marozsan F
2026-06-23 2026 Mallorca, Spain
Marozsan F 2:0 Tabilo A Marozsan F
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMochizuki S - Marozsan F

Mochizuki S
0 matches total
Marozsan F
Biggest win β€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match β€” most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw β€” draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Monreal