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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard

1 round 03.08.2026 21:00 UTC

Mochizuki S - Marozsan F

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Mochizuki S go head-to-head with Marozsan F on August 3, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mochizuki S 3-0-2, Marozsan F 3-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Marozsan F — 61%

Pure model vs market (2 · Marozsan F): model 36% · market 65% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mochizuki S38.8%

market35%

2 · Marozsan F ✓ Pick61.2%

market65%

Model estimate: win Mochizuki S 38.8%, win Marozsan F 61.2%. Model favourite — Marozsan F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Marozsan F (odds1.45) Score 1:2 confidence 63%

• Mochizuki Sh
• 🇯🇵 — Marozhan F
• 🇭🇺 (tennis)
• Mochizuki Sh
• 🇯🇵: forma VVPVV (4-1)
• Marozhan F
• 🇭🇺: forma PPPP (0-4)
• Model backs Marozhan F
• 🇭🇺: probability 63% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
• no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mochizuki S - Marozsan F August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Marozsan F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.70 / 2 1.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.0%

1 34.9%

2 ✓ Pick 65.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner P1 2.70 → 2.70

Winner P2 1.45 → 1.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mochizuki S

8-2LWWLWWWWWW

scored 2.1conceded 0.9

Marozsan F

4-6WLWLWLWLLL

scored 1.0conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard

ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 1-y krug hard 03.08.2026 21:00 UTC Not started

03.08.2026 21:00 UTC 1-y krug Not started

Mochizuki S Japan

W L W L W

Marozsan F Hungary

L W L W W

-:-

Odds

P1 2.70 35.6% BetBoom

P2 1.49 64.4% BetBoom

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Japan Country Hungary

- Rating -

23 Age 26

175 Height (cm) 193

70 Weight (kg) 75

Pravsha Hand Pravsha

Q Seed 0

hard Coverage hard

1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Mochizuki S

43% 6 / 14

43% 6 / 14

Sintetika

no data

clay

no data

grass

3 iz 4

hard

3 iz 10

Marozsan F

47% 21 / 45

47% 21 / 45

Sintetika

no data

clay

5 iz 11

grass

4 iz 9

hard

12 iz 25

Head-to-head history

Monreal

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort

Start 03.08.2026 21:00 UTC

Market 1 34.9% @ 2.70 / 2 65.1% @ 1.45

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 7 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Mochizuki S - Marozsan F

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Sintaro Mochizuki - Fabian Marozhan. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Mochizuki S 35.9% 38.8%

Marozsan F 64.1% 61.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 38.8% / 61.2% probabilities

Rating 1,702 / 1,233 Mochizuki S / Marozsan F

RD 123 / 207 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,455-1,948 / 819-1,648 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 61.2%

1 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 38.8%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 2.75 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 19.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Over 20.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	2.50 40.0%	—
	2.30 43.5%	—
	2.08 48.1%	—
	1.82 55.0%	1.81 55.3%
	1.50 66.7%	—
	1.30 76.9%	—
	2.75 36.4%	—
	2.95 33.9%	—
	1.45 69.0%	—
	1.55 64.5%	—
	1.67 59.9%	—
	1.93 51.8%	—
	2.40 41.7%	—
	3.20 31.3%	—
	1.40 71.4%	—
	1.35 74.1%	—
	—	1.98 50.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
Over 19.5	1.43 69.9%	—
Over 20.5	1.60 62.5%	—
Over 21.5	1.82 55.0%	1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5	2.02 49.5%	2.02 49.5%
Over 23.5	2.25 44.4%	—
Over 24.5	2.35 42.6%	—
Over 25.5	2.60 38.5%	—
Over 26.5	2.95 33.9%	—
Under 19.5	2.60 38.5%	—
Under 20.5	2.20 45.5%	—
Under 21.5	2.00 50.0%	—
Under 22.5	1.70 58.8%	—
Under 23.5	1.58 63.3%	—
Under 24.5	1.53 65.4%	—
Under 25.5	1.45 69.0%	—
Under 26.5	1.35 74.1%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	2.70 37.0%	2.55 39.2%
	1.45 69.0%	1.49 67.1%

Match center

Mochizuki S

W L W L W

2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying

Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 2:1 Sweeny D

2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada

Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 0:2 Matsuoka H

2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada

Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 2:1 Broom C

2026-07-25 2026 Winnipeg, Canada

Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 0:2 Draxl L

2026-07-24 2026 Winnipeg, Canada

Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 2:0 Monday J

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.2 Sets won

1.2 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Marozsan F

L W L W W

2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Davidovich Fokina A 3:0 Marozsan F Marozsan F

2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Tirante T A 0:3 Marozsan F Marozsan F

2026-06-26 2026 Mallorca, Spain

Marozsan F 1:2 Davidovich Fokina A Marozsan F

2026-06-25 2026 Mallorca, Spain

Kecmanovic M 0:2 Marozsan F Marozsan F

2026-06-23 2026 Mallorca, Spain

Marozsan F 2:0 Tabilo A Marozsan F

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.6 Sets won

1.0 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMochizuki S - Marozsan F

Mochizuki S

0 matches total

Marozsan F

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

Monreal