ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hardhard04.08.2026 17:25 UTCFinished
04.08.2026 17:25 UTCFinished
Popyrin A
WLLLL
Burruchaga R A
LWWLW
2:1
Odds
P11.63
90.8% BetBoom
P216.00
9.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
hardCoveragehard
0H2H0
Popyrin A meet Burruchaga R A on August 4, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.
Recent form (W-D-L): Popyrin A 1-0-4, Burruchaga R A 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Popyrin A — 58%
Pure model vs market (1 · Popyrin A): model 44% · market 60%Δ −16 ppmodel estimates below the market
58%1
1 · Popyrin A57.6%
2 · Burruchaga R A42.4%
Model estimate: win Popyrin A 57.6%, win Burruchaga R A 42.4%. Model favourite — Popyrin A.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Popyrin A (odds1.51)Score 2:1confidence 60%✓ outcome correct · exact score
•Popyrin A
•🇦🇺 — Burruchaga R
•A
•🇦🇷 (tennis)
•Popyrin A
•🇦🇺: forma VPPPP (1-4)
•Burruchaga R
•A
•🇦🇷: forma PVVPV (3-2)
•liniya na pik P1 1.48→1.52 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
•Model backs Popyrin A
•🇦🇺: probability 60% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Popyrin A - Burruchaga R A August 4, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Popyrin A.
Line favourite Fonbet: Popyrin A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 2.40
Glicko: Popyrin A 57.6% / Burruchaga R A 42.4%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.3%
4 books · best price +2.5%
159.7%
240.3%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 11.48↓ 1.01
Winner 22.65↑ 16.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
162%✓ favourite
238%
Score2:0Total games: Over 22.5Bet:Win Popyrin A. (1)
Per AI dataH2H: 0:0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 15:07 UTC
165%✓ favourite
235%
Score2:0Total games: Over 21.5Bet:1 (win Popyrina) at 1.63
AI consensus:1
AI
1
2
Score
Total games
Bet
Google AI
62%
38%
2:0
Over 22.5
Win Popyrin A. (1)
Claude
65%
35%
2:0
Over 21.5
Match center
Start04.08.2026 17:25 UTC
Market1 70.4% @ 1.01 / 2 29.6% @ 2.40
Coveragehard
Form6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsPopyrin A 64%
📐 Math modelPopyrin A 58%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Popyrin A - Burruchaga R A
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score2:1
Events0
Statistics0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
home - 57.6% fact: home
hit / ROI 63.0% / Brier 0.360 / LogLoss 0.552
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
home - 50.9% fact: home
hit / ROI 63.0% / Brier 0.482 / LogLoss 0.675
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Popyrin A59.0%57.6%market and model agree
Burruchaga R A41.0%42.4%
1X2: 4 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P257.6% / 42.4%
probabilities
Rating1,510 / 1,739
Popyrin A / Burruchaga R A
RD151 / 156
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,208-1,812 / 1,427-2,051
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.32
market consensus · no value · model 42.4%
11.01
Fonbet · no value · model 57.6%
Handicap
2 -0.510.00
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.51.70
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.51.02
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.52.02
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.51.35
Fonbet · line only
Over 19.51.25
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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