Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard

Ruud C - Cerundolo J M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard hard 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
Ruud C
Ruud C
Cerundolo J M
Cerundolo J M
W
2:0
Odds
P1 1.32 71.4% BetBoom
P2 3.30 28.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
  Ruud K. 🇳🇴 0 1
  Cherundolo Kh.-M. 🇦🇷 1 2

Ruud C meet Cerundolo J M on August 6, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Ruud C58%

1 · Ruud C ✓ Pick58.1%
market70%
2 · Cerundolo J M41.9%
market30%

Model estimate: win Ruud C 58.1%, win Cerundolo J M 41.9%. Model favourite — Ruud C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ruud C (odds1.31) Score 2:1 confidence 58% ✓ outcome correct
  • Ruud K
  • 🇳🇴 — Cherundolo Kh.-M
  • 🇦🇷 (tennis)
  • Ruud K
  • 🇳🇴: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • Cherundolo Kh.-M
  • 🇦🇷: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • Model backs Ruud K
  • 🇳🇴: probability 58% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.31)
  • no edge over the line (-18 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ruud C - Cerundolo J M August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ruud C.

Line favourite market consensus: Ruud C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / 2 3.20
  • Glicko: Ruud C 58.1% / Cerundolo J M 41.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 3 books · best price +4.4%
1 ✓ Pick 70.3%
2 29.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 69.4% @ 1.41 / 2 30.6% @ 3.20
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Ruud C - Cerundolo J M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 20
Metric Ruud C Cerundolo J M SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 4/5 0/0 final
Points na prieme 56% (20/36) 27% (12/45) final
Eysy 2 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 1/5 final
Dvoynye oshibki 5 3 final
Pervaya podacha, % 62% 42% final
Points na pervoy podache 82% (23/28) 60% (9/15) final
Points na vtoroy podache 59% (10/17) 33% (7/21) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 58.1% fact: home hit / ROI 32.0% / Brier 0.351 / LogLoss 0.542
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.0% fact: home hit / ROI 32.0% / Brier 0.481 / LogLoss 0.674
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ruud C 71.4% 58.1% market and model agree
Cerundolo J M 28.6% 41.9%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 58.1% / 41.9% probabilities
Rating 1,770 / 1,614 Ruud C / Cerundolo J M
RD 162 / 150 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,445-2,095 / 1,314-1,914 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.10 market consensus · no value · model 41.9%
1 1.37 market consensus · no value · model 58.1%
Handicap
2 0 1.85 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.85 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 10.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Over 21.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.89 52.9% 1.92 52.1% 1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2% 1.98 50.5%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 10.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 21.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 1.97 50.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.99 50.3%
Under 10.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 21.5 1.99 50.3%
Under 22.5 1.82 55.0% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.35 74.1% 1.41 70.9% 1.34 74.6%
3.20 31.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.20 31.3%
Match center
Ruud C
L W W L W
17.07 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Ruud C 1:2 Cherundolo Kh.-M. 🇦🇷Cherundolo Kh.-M. 🇦🇷
16.07 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Ruud C 2:1 Fariya Dzh. 🇵🇹Fariya Dzh. 🇵🇹
29.05 14:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Ruud C 3:2 Pol T. 🇺🇸Pol T. 🇺🇸
22.05 10:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Zheneva (Switzerland), clay
Ruud C 0:2 Navone M. 🇦🇷Navone M. 🇦🇷
21.05 11:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Zheneva (Switzerland), clay
Ruud C 2:0 Popyrin A. 🇦🇺Popyrin A. 🇦🇺
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Cerundolo J M
W
04.08 18:55 UTC ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
Cerundolo J M 2:0 Medzhedovich Kh. 🇷🇸Medzhedovich Kh. 🇷🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRuud C - Cerundolo J M

Ruud C
1 matches total
Cerundolo J M
Ruud C: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cerundolo J M: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Cherundolo Kh.-M. 🇦🇷 1:2 (17.07 08:00 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 17.07 08:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

17.07 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Ruud K. 🇳🇴
1:2
Cherundolo Kh.-M. 🇦🇷