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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
1 round02.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Shimabukuro S - Cilic M
Shimabukuro S go head-to-head with Cilic M on August 2, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2Cilic M — 61%
Pure model vs market (2 · Cilic M): model 42% · market 63%Δ −21 ppmodel estimates below the market
61%2
1 · Shimabukuro S38.8%
market37%
2 · Cilic M ✓ Pick61.2%
market63%
Model estimate: win Shimabukuro S 38.8%, win Cilic M 61.2%. Model favourite — Cilic M.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Cilic M (odds1.50)Score 1:2confidence 61%
•Shimabukuro Sh
•🇯🇵 — Chilich M
•🇭🇷 (tennis)
•Shimabukuro Sh
•🇯🇵: forma VPPPP (1-4)
•Chilich M
•🇭🇷: forma PVVP (2)
•liniya na pik P2 1.45→1.50 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
•Model backs Chilich M
•🇭🇷: probability 61% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
•no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Shimabukuro S - Cilic M August 2, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Cilic M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.60 / 2 1.50
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.1%
136.6%
2 ✓ Pick63.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P12.70↓ 2.60
Pobeditel P21.45↑ 1.50
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Shimabukuro S
6-4WLLLWWLWWW
scored 1.4conceded 0.8
Cilic M
5-5WLWLLWWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
TennisATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard1-y krughard02.08.2026 22:00 UTCNot started
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Shimabukuro S36.6%38.8%
Cilic M63.4%61.2%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P238.8% / 61.2%
probabilities
Rating1,601 / 1,425
Shimabukuro S / Cilic M
RD128 / 222
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,346-1,856 / 980-1,870
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.50
Fonbet · no value · model 61.2%
12.60
Fonbet · no value · model 38.8%
Handicap
2 +0.51.50
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.52.40
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.51.60
Fonbet · line only
Over 22.51.88
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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