Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard

1 round 02.08.2026 22:00 UTC

Shimabukuro S - Cilic M

Shimabukuro S go head-to-head with Cilic M on August 2, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Shimabukuro S 2-0-3, Cilic M 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Cilic M — 61%

Pure model vs market (2 · Cilic M): model 42% · market 60% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Shimabukuro S38.8%

market40%

2 · Cilic M ✓ Pick61.2%

market60%

Model estimate: win Shimabukuro S 38.8%, win Cilic M 61.2%. Model favourite — Cilic M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Cilic M (odds1.50) Score 1:2 confidence 61%

• Shimabukuro Sh
• 🇯🇵 — Chilich M
• 🇭🇷 (tennis)
• Shimabukuro Sh
• 🇯🇵: forma VPPPP (1-4)
• Chilich M
• 🇭🇷: forma PVVP (2)
• liniya na pik P2 1.45→1.50 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
• Model backs Chilich M
• 🇭🇷: probability 61% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
• no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shimabukuro S - Cilic M August 2, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cilic M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.40 / 2 1.57

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.4%

1 39.5%

2 ✓ Pick 60.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Pobeditel P1 2.70 ↓ 2.60

Pobeditel P2 1.45 ↑ 1.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Shimabukuro S

6-4WLLLWWLWWW

scored 1.4conceded 0.8

Cilic M

5-5WLWLLWWLLW

scored 1.1conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard

ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 1-y krug hard 02.08.2026 22:00 UTC Not started

02.08.2026 22:00 UTC 1-y krug Not started

Shimabukuro S Japan

W L L L W

Cilic M Croatia

L L L W W

-:-

Odds

P1 2.60 36.9% BetBoom

P2 1.52 63.1% BetBoom

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Kort Rodzhers Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Japan Country Croatia

- Rating -

29 Age 37

183 Height (cm) 198

83 Weight (kg) 89

Pravsha Hand Pravsha

- Seed -

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Shimabukuro S

36% 5 / 14

36% 5 / 14

Sintetika

no data

clay

no data

grass

3 iz 6

hard

2 iz 8

Cilic M

44% 16 / 36

44% 16 / 36

Sintetika

no data

clay

3 iz 8

grass

2 iz 5

hard

11 iz 23

Head-to-head history

Monreal

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Kort Rodzhers

Start 02.08.2026 22:00 UTC

Market 1 39.5% @ 2.40 / 2 60.5% @ 1.57

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 5 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Shimabukuro S - Cilic M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha So Simabukuro - Marin Chilich. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Shimabukuro S 36.6% 38.8%

Cilic M 63.4% 61.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 38.8% / 61.2% probabilities

Rating 1,601 / 1,425 Shimabukuro S / Cilic M

RD 128 / 222 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,346-1,856 / 980-1,870 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.57 Fonbet · no value · model 61.2%

1 2.40 Fonbet · no value · model 38.8%

Handicap

2 +0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 21.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Over 22.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
—	—	2.25 44.4%	—
—	—	2.08 48.1%	—
1.98 50.5%	1.98 50.5%	1.90 52.6%	2.02 49.5%
—	—	1.60 62.5%	—
—	—	1.57 63.7%	—
—	—	1.67 59.9%	—
—	—	1.85 54.1%	—
—	—	2.20 45.5%	—
1.81 55.3%	1.83 54.6%	—	1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
Over 21.5	—	—	1.65 60.6%	—
Over 22.5	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	1.93 51.8%	1.88 53.2%
Over 23.5	—	—	2.10 47.6%	—
Over 24.5	—	—	2.20 45.5%	—
Under 21.5	—	—	2.10 47.6%	—
Under 22.5	1.91 52.4%	1.93 51.8%	1.87 53.5%	1.89 52.9%
Under 23.5	—	—	1.65 60.6%	—
Under 24.5	—	—	1.60 62.5%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	2.60 38.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.60 38.5%
	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.57 63.7%	1.49 67.1%

Match center

Shimabukuro S

W L L L W

2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying

Shimabukuro S Shimabukuro S 2:0 Budkov Kjaer N

2026-07-29 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico

Shimabukuro S Shimabukuro S 1:2 Pacheco Mendez R

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Shimabukuro S Shimabukuro S 1:3 Faria J

2026-06-17 2026 Halle, Germany

Shimabukuro S Tiafoe F 2:0 Shimabukuro S

2026-06-16 2026 Halle, Germany

Shimabukuro S Griekspoor T 1:2 Shimabukuro S

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.2 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Cilic M

L L L W W

2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Cilic M 0:3 Medvedev D Cilic M

2026-06-16 2026 London, Great Britain

Humbert U 2:0 Cilic M Cilic M

2026-06-12 2026 s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands

Medvedev D 2:1 Cilic M Cilic M

2026-06-11 2026 s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands

Borges N 1:2 Cilic M Cilic M

2026-06-08 2026 s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands

Cilic M 2:1 Shapovalov D Cilic M

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.0 Sets won

1.8 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyShimabukuro S - Cilic M

Shimabukuro S

0 matches total

Cilic M

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

Monreal