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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
1 round 03.08.2026 21:45 UTC

Sonego L - Griekspoor T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Sonego L take on Griekspoor T on August 3, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sonego L — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sonego L): model 60% · market 50% Δ +10 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Sonego L50.5%
2 · Griekspoor T49.5%

Model estimate: win Sonego L 50.5%, win Griekspoor T 49.5%. Model favourite — Sonego L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sonego L (odds1.99) Score 2:1 confidence 60%
  • • Sonego L
  • • 🇮🇹 — Grikspur T
  • • 🇳🇱 (tennis)
  • • Sonego L
  • • 🇮🇹: forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • Grikspur T
  • • 🇳🇱: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • • Model backs Sonego L
  • • 🇮🇹: probability 60% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sonego L - Griekspoor T August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Griekspoor T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / 2 1.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 49.7%
2 50.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sonego L
5-5LWLWLLWLWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.7
Griekspoor T
3-7LLLWLLWWLL
scored 1.1conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 1-y krug hard 03.08.2026 21:45 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 21:45 UTC 1-y krug Not started
Sonego L
Sonego L Italy
Griekspoor T
Griekspoor T Netherlands
-:-
Odds
P1 1.92 49.7% BetBoom
P2 1.90 50.3% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Italy Country Netherlands
- Rating -
31 Age 30
191 Height (cm) 188
76 Weight (kg) 85
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Sonego L
46% 18 / 39
46% 18 / 39
Sintetika
no data
clay
3 iz 9
grass
3 iz 6
hard
12 iz 24
Griekspoor T
32% 13 / 41
32% 13 / 41
Sintetika
no data
clay
1 iz 7
grass
1 iz 4
hard
11 iz 30

Head-to-head history

2024
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
  Sonego L 0
  Griekspoor T 0
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort
Start 03.08.2026 21:45 UTC
Market 1 49.7% @ 1.92 / 2 50.3% @ 1.90
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 7 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Sonego L - Griekspoor T

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Lorentso Sonego - Tallon Grikspor. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sonego L 49.5% 50.5% Glicko contrarian
Griekspoor T 50.5% 49.5% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.5% / 49.5% probabilities
Rating 1,566 / 1,352 Sonego L / Griekspoor T
RD 143 / 164 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,281-1,852 / 1,023-1,680 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.88 market consensus · no value · model 49.5%
1 1.91 market consensus · no value · model 50.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 22.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Over 23.5 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— — 1.84 54.4%
— 1.71 58.5% —
1.97 50.8% — —
1.82 55.0% — —
— — 1.94 51.6%
— 2.13 47.0% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 22.5 — 1.76 56.8% 1.79 55.9%
Over 23.5 1.99 50.3% — 2.01 49.8%
Over 24.5 — 2.06 48.5% —
Under 22.5 — 2.07 48.3% 1.99 50.3%
Under 23.5 1.80 55.6% — 1.78 56.2%
Under 24.5 — 1.76 56.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4%
1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.86 53.8%
Match center
Sonego L
D
02.08.2026 Championat
Sonego L Kh. Khaume Munar Khaume Munar (Spain) 2 7 6 — R. Rinki Khidzikata (Australia) 0 6 3 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Griekspoor T
D D
02.08.2026 Championat
A. Adolfo Daniel Valekho (Paraguay) 0 3 SR Ts. Tszyunchen Shan Tszyunchen Shan (China) 2 6 1-y krug Griekspoor T
03.08.2026 Championat
M. Matteo Berrettini (Italy) M. Griekspoor T
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySonego L - Griekspoor T

Sonego L
0 matches total
Griekspoor T
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2024 Monreal hard 1-y krug L. Lorentso Sonego Lorentso Sonego (Italy) 2 7 5 6 T. Tallon Grikspor Tallon Grikspor (Netherlands) 1 6 7 4 ; CHAMP('tournamentTabs'