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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
1 round 03.08.2026 21:45 UTC

Sonego L - Griekspoor T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Sonego L take on Griekspoor T on August 3, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sonego L โ€” 51%

Pure model vs market (1 ยท Sonego L): model 60% ยท market 49% ฮ” +11 pp model estimates above the market

1 ยท Sonego L50.5%
2 ยท Griekspoor T49.5%

Model estimate: win Sonego L 50.5%, win Griekspoor T 49.5%. Model favourite โ€” Sonego L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sonego L (odds1.99) Score 2:1 confidence 60%
  • • Sonego L
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น โ€” Grikspur T
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ (tennis)
  • • Sonego L
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น: forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • Grikspur T
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • • Model backs Sonego L
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น: probability 60% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp โ€” value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sonego L - Griekspoor T August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Griekspoor T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / 2 1.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 3 books ยท best price +1.1%
1 49.5%
2 50.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sonego L
5-5LWLWLLWLWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.7
Griekspoor T
3-7LLLWLLWWLL
scored 1.1conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics โ€” for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 1-y krug hard 03.08.2026 21:45 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 21:45 UTC 1-y krug Not started
Sonego L
Sonego L Italy
Griekspoor T
Griekspoor T Netherlands
-:-
Odds
P1 1.92 49.7% BetBoom
P2 1.90 50.3% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Italy Country Netherlands
- Rating -
31 Age 30
191 Height (cm) 188
76 Weight (kg) 85
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Sonego L
46% 18 / 39
46% 18 / 39
Sintetika
no data
clay
3 iz 9
grass
3 iz 6
hard
12 iz 24
Griekspoor T
32% 13 / 41
32% 13 / 41
Sintetika
no data
clay
1 iz 7
grass
1 iz 4
hard
11 iz 30

Head-to-head history

2024
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
  Sonego L 0
  Griekspoor T 0
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort
Start 03.08.2026 21:45 UTC
Market 1 49.7% @ 1.92 / 2 50.3% @ 1.90
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 7 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Sonego L - Griekspoor T

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Lorentso Sonego - Tallon Grikspor. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sonego L 49.5% 50.5% Glicko contrarian
Griekspoor T 50.5% 49.5% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.5% / 49.5% probabilities
Rating 1,566 / 1,352 Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น / Grikspur T. ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
RD 143 / 164 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,281-1,852 / 1,023-1,680 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.88 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 49.5%
1 1.91 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 50.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.94 market consensus ยท line only
2 +0.5 1.82 market consensus ยท line only
1 -0.5 1.97 market consensus ยท line only
1 +0.5 1.84 market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 22.5 1.78 market consensus ยท line only
Over 23.5 2.00 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— — 1.84 54.4%
— 1.71 58.5% —
1.97 50.8% — —
1.82 55.0% — —
— — 1.94 51.6%
— 2.13 47.0% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 22.5 — 1.76 56.8% 1.79 55.9%
Over 23.5 1.99 50.3% — 2.01 49.8%
Over 24.5 — 2.06 48.5% —
Under 22.5 — 2.07 48.3% 1.99 50.3%
Under 23.5 1.80 55.6% — 1.78 56.2%
Under 24.5 — 1.76 56.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4%
1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.86 53.8%
Match center
Sonego L
D
02.08.2026 Championat
Sonego L Kh. Khaume Munar Khaume Munar (Spain) 2 7 6 โ€” R. Rinki Khidzikata (Australia) 0 6 3 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Griekspoor T
D D
02.08.2026 Championat
A. Adolfo Daniel Valekho (Paraguay) 0 3 SR Ts. Tszyunchen Shan Tszyunchen Shan (China) 2 6 1-y krug Griekspoor T
03.08.2026 Championat
M. Matteo Berrettini (Italy) M. Griekspoor T
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySonego L - Griekspoor T

Sonego L
0 matches total
Griekspoor T
Biggest win โ€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match โ€” most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw โ€” draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2024 Monreal hard 1-y krug L. Lorentso Sonego Lorentso Sonego (Italy) 2 7 5 6 T. Tallon Grikspor Tallon Grikspor (Netherlands) 1 6 7 4 ; CHAMP('tournamentTabs'