PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
1 round 05.08.2026 18:55 UTC Match prediction

Sonego L - Griekspoor T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 1-y krug hard 05.08.2026 18:55 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 18:55 UTC 1-y krug Finished
Sonego L
Sonego L Italy Seed 80
Griekspoor T
Griekspoor T Netherlands Seed 67
0:2
Odds
P1 1.93 49.6% BetBoom
P2 1.90 50.4% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Italy Country Netherlands
- Rating -
31 Age 30
191 Height (cm) 188
76 Weight (kg) 85
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
80 Seed 67
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Sonego L
46% 18 / 39
46% 18 / 39
Sintetika
no data
clay
3 iz 9
grass
3 iz 6
hard
12 iz 24
Griekspoor T
32% 13 / 41
32% 13 / 41
Sintetika
no data
clay
1 iz 7
grass
1 iz 4
hard
11 iz 30

Head-to-head history

2024
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
  Sonego L 0
  Griekspoor T 0

Sonego L face Griekspoor T on August 5, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sonego L — 50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sonego L): model 60% · market 46% Δ +14 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Sonego L50.4%
2 · Griekspoor T49.6%

Model estimate: win Sonego L 50.4%, win Griekspoor T 49.6%. Model favourite — Sonego L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sonego L (odds1.99) Score 2:1 confidence 60% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Sonego L
  • • 🇮🇹 — Grikspur T
  • • 🇳🇱 (tennis)
  • • Sonego L
  • • 🇮🇹: forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • Grikspur T
  • • 🇳🇱: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • • Model backs Sonego L
  • • 🇮🇹: probability 60% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sonego L - Griekspoor T August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Griekspoor T.

Line favourite market consensus: Griekspoor T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / 2 1.75
  • Glicko: Sonego L 50.4% / Griekspoor T 49.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5% 3 books
1 45.5%
2 54.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sonego L
5-5LWLWLLWLWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.7
Griekspoor T
3-7LLLWLLWWLL
scored 1.1conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort
Start 05.08.2026 18:55 UTC
Market 1 45.5% @ 2.10 / 2 54.5% @ 1.75
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 7 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Sonego L - Griekspoor T

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Lorentso Sonego - Tallon Grikspor. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sonego L 49.3% 50.4% Glicko contrarian
Griekspoor T 50.7% 49.6% market favourite
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.4% / 49.6% probabilities
Rating 1,566 / 1,352 Sonego L / Griekspoor T
RD 143 / 164 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,281-1,852 / 1,023-1,680 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.74 market consensus · no value · model 49.6%
1 2.08 market consensus · weak value +4.8% · model 50.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 22.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Over 23.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— — 1.92 52.1%
1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
1.97 50.8% — —
1.82 55.0% — —
— — 1.85 54.1%
1.97 50.8% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 22.5 — 1.76 56.8% 1.77 56.5%
Over 23.5 1.99 50.3% 2.03 49.3% 2.01 49.8%
Over 24.5 — 2.06 48.5% —
Under 22.5 — 2.07 48.3% 2.02 49.5%
Under 23.5 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2%
Under 24.5 — 1.76 56.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.07 48.3%
1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Sonego LLLWLWWLWLL
Griekspoor TWLLLLWLL
H2H 1-0-1
2026-08-04 · Lorentso Sonego 0:2 Tallon Grikspur
2024-08-06 · Lorentso Sonego 2:1 Tallon Grikspur
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.93 (Winline) · 2 1.9 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.9 1.9
Winline 1.93 1.87
Fonbet 1.9 1.9
Betcity 1.92 1.88
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

9 Eysy 5
4 Dvoynye oshibki 3
2 Vsego breyk-poyntov 6
1 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 2
69 Vyigrannye Points 78
50 Points na podache 52
26 Poteryannye Points na podache 19
51 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 47
21 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 22
36 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 34
14 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 18
7 Maks. ochkov podryad 11
0 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 10
10 Geymy na podache 11
11 Vyigrannye geymy 14
2 Maks. geymov podryad 3
0 Tay-breyk 1
Source: ruscore
Sonego L
D
02.08.2026 Championat
Sonego L Kh. Khaume Munar Khaume Munar (Spain) 2 7 6 — R. Rinki Khidzikata (Australia) 0 6 3 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Griekspoor T
D D
02.08.2026 Championat
A. Adolfo Daniel Valekho (Paraguay) 0 3 SR Ts. Tszyunchen Shan Tszyunchen Shan (China) 2 6 1-y krug Griekspoor T
03.08.2026 Championat
M. Matteo Berrettini (Italy) M. Griekspoor T
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySonego L - Griekspoor T

Sonego L
0 matches total
Griekspoor T
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2024 Monreal hard 1-y krug L. Lorentso Sonego Lorentso Sonego (Italy) 2 7 5 6 T. Tallon Grikspor Tallon Grikspor (Netherlands) 1 6 7 4 ; CHAMP('tournamentTabs'