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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
04.08.2026 23:00 UTC

Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Cilic M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ go head-to-head with Cilic M on August 4, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ β€” 59%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ): model 49% Β· market 61% Ξ” βˆ’12 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ58.8%
market61%
2 Β· Cilic M41.2%
market39%

Model estimate: win Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 58.8%, win Cilic M 41.2%. Model favourite β€” Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ (odds1.58) Score 2:1 confidence 59%
  • • Tiafo F
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ β€” Chilich M
  • • πŸ‡­πŸ‡· (tennis)
  • • Chilich M
  • • πŸ‡­πŸ‡·: forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • • Model backs Tiafo F
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ: probability 59% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) β€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Cilic M August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / 2 2.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5% 2 books
1 61.3%
2 38.7%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

no data

Cilic M
5-5WLWLLWWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard hard 04.08.2026 23:00 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 23:00 UTC Not started
T
Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Cilic M
Cilic M
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.61 60.3% BetBoom
P2 2.45 39.7% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 61.3% @ 1.55 / 2 38.8% @ 2.45
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
Match center

Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Cilic M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 59.9% 58.8% market and model agree
Cilic M 40.1% 41.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 58.8% / 41.2% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,596 Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ / Cilic M
RD 350 / 197 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,203-1,989 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.45 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 41.2%
1 1.55 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 58.8%
Total
Over 22.5 1.80 market consensus Β· line only
Under 22.5 1.98 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.91 52.4%
1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 22.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 22.5 1.98 50.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Leon
1.55 64.5% 1.54 64.9%
2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
W L W
03.08 18:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2:0 Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
12.06 14:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Khertogenbos (Netherlands), grass
Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 1:2 Medvedev D. (World)Medvedev D. (World)
11.06 11:05 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Khertogenbos (Netherlands), grass
Tiafo F. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2:1 Borzhesh N. πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ΉBorzhesh N. πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.7 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Cilic M
W
03.08 18:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
Cilic M 2:0 Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅Shimabukuro Sh. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage