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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
1 round 03.08.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

Ugo Carabelli C - Norrie C

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 1-y krug hard 03.08.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
03.08.2026 20:00 UTC 1-y krug Finished
Ugo Carabelli C
Ugo Carabelli C Argentina Seed 75
Norrie C
Norrie C Velikobritaniya Seed 39
0:2
Odds
P1 4.50 21.5% BetBoom
P2 1.23 78.5% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Kort Rodzhers Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Argentina Country Velikobritaniya
- Rating -
27 Age 30
185 Height (cm) 188
83 Weight (kg) 82
Pravsha Hand Levsha
75 Seed 39
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Ugo Carabelli C
40% 17 / 42
40% 17 / 42
Sintetika
no data
clay
12 iz 23
grass
0 iz 1
hard
5 iz 18
Norrie C
52% 26 / 50
52% 26 / 50
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 11
grass
0 iz 2
hard
21 iz 37

Head-to-head history

Monreal

Ugo Carabelli C go head-to-head with Norrie C on August 3, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 25% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Norrie C — 75%

Pure model vs market (2 · Norrie C): model 50% · market 77% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ugo Carabelli C25.4%
market23%
2 · Norrie C ✓ Pick74.6%
market77%

Model estimate: win Ugo Carabelli C 25.4%, win Norrie C 74.6%. Model favourite — Norrie C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Norrie C (odds1.24) Score 0:2 confidence 74% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Ugo Karabelli K
  • • 🇦🇷 — Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧 (tennis)
  • • Ugo Karabelli K
  • • 🇦🇷: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: probability 74% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.24)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ugo Carabelli C - Norrie C August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Norrie C.

Line favourite market consensus: Norrie C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 4.50 / 2 1.23
  • Glicko: Ugo Carabelli C 25.4% / Norrie C 74.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6% 3 books
1 22.7%
2 ✓ Pick 77.4%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Kort Rodzhers
Start 03.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 21.5% @ 4.50 / 2 78.5% @ 1.23
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 7 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Ugo Carabelli C - Norrie C

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Kamilo Ugo Karabeli - Kemeron Norri. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ugo Carabelli C 22.7% 25.4%
Norrie C 77.4% 74.6% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 25.4% / 74.6% probabilities
Rating 1,692 / 1,741 Ugo Carabelli C / Norrie C
RD 168 / 124 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,356-2,028 / 1,493-1,989 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 74.6%
1 4.27 market consensus · no value · model 25.4%
Total
Over 20.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Over 21.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.89 52.9% 1.92 52.1% 1.81 55.3%
1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2% 1.97 50.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 20.5 1.79 55.9% — 1.97 50.8%
Over 21.5 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5% 1.93 51.8%
Under 20.5 2.00 50.0% — 1.81 55.3%
Under 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.10 24.4%
1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Ugo Carabelli C
D
02.08.2026 Championat
Ugo Carabelli C Kh. Khaume Munar Khaume Munar (Spain) 2 7 6 — R. Rinki Khidzikata (Australia) 0 6 3 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Norrie C
D D
02.08.2026 Championat
A. Adolfo Daniel Valekho (Paraguay) 0 3 SR Ts. Tszyunchen Shan Tszyunchen Shan (China) 2 6 1-y krug Norrie C
03.08.2026 Championat
M. Matteo Berrettini (Italy) M. Norrie C
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUgo Carabelli C - Norrie C

Ugo Carabelli C
0 matches total
Norrie C
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Monreal