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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
05.08.2026 21:00 UTC

Umber U. 🇫🇷 - Merida Aguilar D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Umber U. 🇫🇷 take on Merida Aguilar D on August 5, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Umber U. 🇫🇷 — 50%

1 · Umber U. 🇫🇷50.3%
2 · Merida Aguilar D49.7%

Model estimate: win Umber U. 🇫🇷 50.3%, win Merida Aguilar D 49.7%. Model favourite — Umber U. 🇫🇷.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Umber U. 🇫🇷 (odds1.35) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Umber U
  • • 🇫🇷 — Merida Agilar D
  • • 🇪🇸 (tennis)
  • • Umber U
  • • 🇫🇷: forma V (1-0)
  • • Merida Agilar D
  • • 🇪🇸: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Umber U
  • • 🇫🇷: probability 50% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.35)
  • • no edge over the line (-24 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Umber U. 🇫🇷 - Merida Aguilar D August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Umber U. 🇫🇷. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / 2 3.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 70.0%
2 30.0%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Umber U. 🇫🇷

no data

Merida Aguilar D
5-5LWWLLLWWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard hard 05.08.2026 21:00 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 21:00 UTC Not started
Umber U. 🇫🇷
Umber U. 🇫🇷
Merida Aguilar D
Merida Aguilar D
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.35 70.0% BetBoom
P2 3.15 30.0% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 05.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 70.0% @ 1.35 / 2 30.0% @ 3.15
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Umber U. 🇫🇷 - Merida Aguilar D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Umber U. 🇫🇷 70.0% 50.3% market and model agree
Merida Aguilar D 30.0% 49.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,658 / 1,711 Umber U. 🇫🇷 / Merida Aguilar D
RD 295 / 136 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,068-2,249 / 1,438-1,983 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.15 market consensus · weak value +56.4% · model 49.7%
1 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 50.3%
Total
Over 22.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 22.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.80 55.6%
1.98 50.5%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 22.5 1.97 50.8%
Under 22.5 1.81 55.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.35 74.1%
3.15 31.8%
Match center

Odds · 1 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.36 (Winline) · 2 3.15 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Winline 1.36 3.15
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Umber U. 🇫🇷
W
25.06 15:05 UTC+0 Fonbet tennis live
Umber U. 🇫🇷 2:0 Alis KAlis K
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Merida Aguilar D
W
04.08 17:20 UTC ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
Merida Aguilar D 2:1 Draksl L. 🇨🇦Draksl L. 🇨🇦
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage