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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
02.08.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

Vallejo A D - Shang Juncheng

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard hard 02.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
02.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
Vallejo A D
Vallejo A D
Shang Juncheng
Shang Juncheng
0:2
Odds
P1 2.22 43.2% BetBoom
P2 1.69 56.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Vallejo A D face Shang Juncheng on August 2, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Shang Juncheng — 55%

Pure model vs market (2 · Shang Juncheng): model 37% · market 57% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Vallejo A D45.4%
2 · Shang Juncheng54.6%

Model estimate: win Vallejo A D 45.4%, win Shang Juncheng 54.6%. Model favourite — Shang Juncheng.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Vallejo A D (odds2.30) Score 2:1 confidence 63% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Vallekho D
  • • (Par) — Shan Ts
  • • 🇨🇳 (tennis)
  • • Vallekho D
  • • (Par): forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • Shan Ts
  • • 🇨🇳: forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Vallekho D
  • • (Par): probability 63% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
  • • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vallejo A D - Shang Juncheng August 2, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shang Juncheng.

Line favourite market consensus: Shang Juncheng. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.22 / 2 1.69
  • Glicko: Vallejo A D 45.4% / Shang Juncheng 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 43.2%
2 56.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 02.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 43.2% @ 2.22 / 2 56.8% @ 1.69
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Vallejo A D - Shang Juncheng

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 54.6% fact: away hit / ROI 69.0% / Brier 0.413 / LogLoss 0.606
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.5% fact: away hit / ROI 69.0% / Brier 0.489 / LogLoss 0.682
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vallejo A D 43.5% 45.4%
Shang Juncheng 56.5% 54.6% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 45.4% / 54.6% probabilities
Rating 1,811 / 1,399 Vallejo A D / Shang Juncheng
RD 160 / 290 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,490-2,132 / 818-1,979 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.67 market consensus · no value · model 54.6%
1 2.19 market consensus · no value · model 45.4%
Total
Over 22.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 22.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.94 51.6%
— — 1.82 55.0%
1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
— — 1.96 51.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 22.5 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1%
Under 22.5 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.17 46.1% 2.22 45.1% 2.17 46.1%
1.69 59.2% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9%
Match center
Vallejo A D
L L W W W
21.07 10:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Kittsbyuel (Austria), clay
Vallejo A D 0:2 Feldbaush K. 🇨🇭Feldbaush K. 🇨🇭
18.07 09:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
Vallejo A D 1:2 Darderi L. 🇮🇹Darderi L. 🇮🇹
17.07 07:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
Vallejo A D 2:0 Travalya S. 🇮🇹Travalya S. 🇮🇹
15.07 07:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
Vallejo A D 2:1 Van de Zandskhyulp B. 🇳🇱Van de Zandskhyulp B. 🇳🇱
14.07 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
Vallejo A D 2:0 Damas M. 🇪🇸Damas M. 🇪🇸
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Shang Juncheng
L
27.07 19:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Shang Juncheng 1:2 Nishikori KNishikori K
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage