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ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
1-й круг 14.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 - Burruchaga R A

Tennis ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay 1-й круг Грунт 14.07.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
14.07.2026 14:00 UTC 1-й круг Finished
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 Италия Seed 175
Burruchaga R A
Burruchaga R A Аргентина Seed 67
0:2 1:6 4:6
1 2 GP
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 1 4 0
Burruchaga R A 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 2.14 45.3% BetBoom
P2 1.77 54.7% BetBoom
Stadium: Стелла Марис. Стэдиум Горан Иванишевич Coverage: Грунт
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Италия Country Аргентина
- Rating -
33 Age 24
185 Height (cm) 183
78 Weight (kg) 80
Right Hand Right
Q Seed 0
Грунт Coverage Грунт
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
0% 0 / 0
0% 0 / 0
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
no data
Трава
no data
Хард
no data
Burruchaga R A
47% 9 / 19
47% 9 / 19
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
9 из 17
Трава
0 из 2
Хард
no data

Head-to-head history

Умаг
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Burruchaga R A — 54%

Pure model vs market (2 · Burruchaga R A): model 45% · market 54% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹46.5%
2 · Burruchaga R A53.5%

Model estimate: win Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 46.5%, win Burruchaga R A 53.5%. Model favourite — Burruchaga R A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Burruchaga R A (odds1.73) Score 1:2 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Чеккинато М
  • • (Ита) — Бурручага Р
  • • А
  • • (Арг) (теннис)
  • • Чеккинато М
  • • (Ита): форма ВВПВВ (4-1)
  • • Бурручага Р
  • • А
  • • (Арг): форма ПППВ (1-3)
  • • линия на пик П2 1.35→1.72 (удлинилась — рынок дрейфует против)
  • • Модель ставит на Бурручага Р
  • • А
  • • (Арг): вероятность 54% против 58% по линии (кэф 1.73)
  • ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-3 пп) — прогноз информационный.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 - Burruchaga R A 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Burruchaga R A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Burruchaga R A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.05 / 2 1.77
  • Glicko: Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 46.5% / Burruchaga R A 53.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 46.3%
2 53.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 3.15 ↓ 2.05
Победитель П2 1.35 ↑ 1.77

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
7-3WWLWWLLWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.9
Burruchaga R A

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated14.07.2026 15:14 UTC
1 55% ✓ favourite
2 45%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 21.5 Bet:П1
Per AI data H2H: 1:2
Claude updated14.07.2026 15:19 UTC
1 51% ✓ favourite
2 49%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 21.5 Bet:ТБ 21.5 геймов
Qwen updated14.07.2026 15:18 UTC
1 45%
2 55% ✓ favourite
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:ТБ 22.
Per AI data H2H: 2-2
Kimi updated14.07.2026 15:20 UTC
1 48%
2 52% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П1 (Чеккинато) @ 2.14

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 55% 45% 2:1 ТБ 21.5 П1
Claude 51% 49% 2:1 ТБ 21.5 ТБ 21.5 геймов
Qwen 45% 55% 2:1 ТБ 22.5 ТБ 22.
Kimi 48% 52% 1:2 ТБ 22.5 П1 (Чеккинато) @ 2.14
Match center
Stadium Стелла Марис. Стэдиум Горан Иванишевич
Start 14.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Stage 1-й круг
Coverage Грунт
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 - Burruchaga R A

Онлайн трансляция теннисного матча Марко Чеккинато - Роман Андрес Бурручага. Умаг. Вся информация: статистика, новости, интервью, фото

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 1 block. officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 Burruchaga R A Result
Set 0 1 6 1:6
Set 1 4 6 4:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 45.6% 46.5%
Burruchaga R A 54.4% 53.5% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 46.5% / 53.5% probabilities
Rating 1,836 / 1,323 Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 / Burruchaga R A
RD 124 / 244 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,589-2,083 / 835-1,812 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.77 Fonbet · no value · model 53.5%
1 2.05 Fonbet · no value · model 46.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +1.5 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% —
П1 +2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% —
П1 +3.5 1.72 58.1% 1.78 56.2% —
П2 +0.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
П2 +1.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
П2 -0.5 — — 1.67 59.9%
П2 -1.5 1.89 52.9% 1.93 51.8% 1.58 63.3%
П2 -2.5 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.48 67.6%
П2 -3.5 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 19.5 — — 1.38 72.5%
ТБ 20.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
ТБ 21.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 22.5 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8%
ТБ 23.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 24.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 25.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 26.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
ТМ 19.5 — — 2.80 35.7%
ТМ 20.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
ТМ 21.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
ТМ 22.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 23.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
ТМ 24.5 — — 1.58 63.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.14 46.7%
П2 1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.69 59.2%
Match center
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
D
13.07.2026 Championat
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 8 В. Вит Коприва (Чехия) 0 1 3 — Д. Дино Прижмич (Хорватия) 2 6 6 · 1-й круг
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Burruchaga R A
D D
13.07.2026 Championat
LD К. Кириян Жаке (Франция) 0 2 3 — М. Марко Трунгеллити (Аргентина) 2 6 6 · 1-й круг Burruchaga R A
13.07.2026 Championat
Д. Душан Лайович (Сербия) 1 6 5 4 — Л. Люка Ван Аш Burruchaga R A
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage