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ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
1-й круг 14.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction

Dodig M. 🇭🇷 - Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸

Tennis ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay 1-й круг Грунт 14.07.2026 12:00 UTC Finished
14.07.2026 12:00 UTC 1-й круг Finished
Dodig M. 🇭🇷
Dodig M. 🇭🇷 Хорватия Seed 254
Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸
Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸 Испания Seed 65
0:2 4:6 2:6
1 2 GP
Dodig M. 🇭🇷 4 2 0
Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 3.20 30.3% BetBoom
P2 1.39 69.7% BetBoom
Stadium: Стелла Марис. Стэдиум Горан Иванишевич Coverage: Грунт
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Хорватия Country Испания
- Rating -
20 Age 35
188 Height (cm) 188
81 Weight (kg) 78
- Hand -
C Seed 0
Грунт Coverage Грунт
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Dodig M. 🇭🇷
0% 0 / 1
0% 0 / 1
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
0 из 1
Трава
no data
Хард
no data
Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸
44% 11 / 25
44% 11 / 25
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
4 из 7
Трава
1 из 2
Хард
6 из 16

Head-to-head history

Умаг
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸 — 67%

Pure model vs market (2 · Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸): model 49% · market 69% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dodig M. 🇭🇷32.6%
market31%
2 · Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸 ✓ Прогноз67.4%
market69%

Model estimate: win Dodig M. 🇭🇷 32.6%, win Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸 67.4%. Model favourite — Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸 (odds1.39) confidence 60% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dodig M. 🇭🇷 - Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸.

Line favourite Fonbet: Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.10 / 2 1.37
  • Glicko: Dodig M. 🇭🇷 32.6% / Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸 67.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 30.6%
2 ✓ Прогноз 69.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 3.90 ↓ 3.10
Победитель П2 1.25 ↑ 1.37

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated12.07.2026 05:13 UTC
1 24%
2 76% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 21.5 Bet:Победа Пабло Карреньо-Бусты с точным счетом 2:1 по сетам (или более консервативный вариант — Тотал больше 21.5 геймов).
Claude updated12.07.2026 05:15 UTC
1 24%
2 76% ✓ favourite
Bet:2
Qwen updated14.07.2026 12:05 UTC
1 28%
2 72% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:П2 (победа Карреньо-Бусты)
Kimi updated14.07.2026 12:07 UTC
1 23%
2 77% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:П2 (победа Карреньо-Бусты)
GLM 5.2 updated14.07.2026 12:10 UTC
1 28%
2 72% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: ТБ 23.5 Bet:Победа Паб

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 24% 76% 1:2 ТБ 21.5 Победа Пабло Карреньо-Бусты с точным счетом 2:1 по сетам (или более консервативный вариант — Тотал больше 21.5 геймов).
Claude 24% 76% — — 2
Qwen 28% 72% 2:0 ТМ 22.5 П2 (победа Карреньо-Бусты)
Kimi 23% 77% 0:2 ТМ 22.5 П2 (победа Карреньо-Бусты)
GLM 5.2 28% 72% 0:2 ТБ 23.5 Победа Паб
Match center
Stadium Стелла Марис. Стэдиум Горан Иванишевич
Start 14.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Stage 1-й круг
Coverage Грунт
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Dodig M. 🇭🇷 - Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸

Онлайн трансляция теннисного матча Матей Додиг - Пабло Карреньо-Буста. Умаг. Вся информация: статистика, новости, интервью, фото

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 1 block. officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Dodig M. 🇭🇷 Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸 Result
Set 0 4 6 4:6
Set 1 2 6 2:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dodig M. 🇭🇷 30.7% 32.6%
Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸 69.4% 67.4% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 32.6% / 67.4% probabilities
Rating 1,821 / 1,782 Dodig M. 🇭🇷 / Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸
RD 208 / 199 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,405-2,236 / 1,385-2,179 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.37 Fonbet · no value · model 67.4%
1 3.10 Fonbet · no value · model 32.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +3.5 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% —
П1 +4.5 1.68 59.5% 1.74 57.5% —
П1 -0.5 — — 3.15 31.8%
П1 -1.5 — — 3.45 29.0%
П2 +0.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
П2 +1.5 — — 1.43 69.9%
П2 +2.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
П2 +3.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
П2 +4.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
П2 +5.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
П2 -0.5 — — 1.30 76.9%
П2 -1.5 — — 1.25 80.0%
П2 -3.5 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% —
П2 -4.5 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 19.5 — — 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 20.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 21.5 1.79 55.9% 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 22.5 — 2.04 49.0% 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 23.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 24.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 25.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
ТБ 26.5 — — 2.95 33.9%
ТМ 19.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
ТМ 20.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
ТМ 21.5 1.96 51.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 22.5 — 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5%
П2 1.32 75.8% 1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Dodig M. 🇭🇷
D
13.07.2026 Championat
Dodig M. 🇭🇷 8 В. Вит Коприва (Чехия) 0 1 3 — Д. Дино Прижмич (Хорватия) 2 6 6 · 1-й круг
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸
D D
13.07.2026 Championat
LD К. Кириян Жаке (Франция) 0 2 3 — М. Марко Трунгеллити (Аргентина) 2 6 6 · 1-й круг Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸
13.07.2026 Championat
Д. Душан Лайович (Сербия) 1 6 5 4 — Л. Люка Ван Аш Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage