ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay

Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷 - Davidovich Fokina A

Tennis ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay clay 15.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷
Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷
W
Davidovich Fokina A
Davidovich Fokina A
0:2
Odds
P1 3.70 25.9% BetBoom
P2 1.29 74.2% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Davidovich Fokina A71%

Pure model vs market (2 · Davidovich Fokina A): model 50% · market 74% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷28.7%
market26%
2 · Davidovich Fokina A ✓ Прогноз71.3%
market74%

Model estimate: win Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷 28.7%, win Davidovich Fokina A 71.3%. Model favourite — Davidovich Fokina A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Davidovich Fokina A (odds1.26) Score 0:2 confidence 72% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • Трунгельити М
  • (Арг) — Давидович Фокина А
  • (Исп) (теннис)
  • Трунгельити М
  • (Арг): форма ВППВП (2-3)
  • Давидович Фокина А
  • (Исп): форма ПВВВП (3-2)
  • линия на пик П2 1.25→1.28 (удлинилась — рынок дрейфует против)
  • Модель ставит на Давидович Фокина А
  • (Исп): вероятность 72% против 79% по линии (кэф 1.26)
  • перевеса над линией нет (-7 пп) — прогноз информационный.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷 - Davidovich Fokina A 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Davidovich Fokina A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Davidovich Fokina A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.65 / 2 1.28
  • Glicko: Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷 28.7% / Davidovich Fokina A 71.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 26.0%
2 ✓ Прогноз 74.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 3.90 ↓ 3.65
Победитель П2 1.25 ↑ 1.28

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷
4-6LLLLWLWWLW
scored 1.3conceded 1.5
Davidovich Fokina A
9-1WWLWWWWWWW
scored 2.1conceded 0.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:7/7 ready

Google AI updated14.07.2026 06:14 MSK
1 24%
2 76% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:2
DeepSeek updated14.07.2026 06:14 MSK
1 10%
2 90% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:Победа Давидовича Фоки
ChatGPT updated14.07.2026 06:16 MSK
1 23%
2 77% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: ТМ 21.5 Bet:Давидович-Фокина победит
Claude updated14.07.2026 06:19 MSK
1 33%
2 67% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: ТБ 21.5 Bet:П2 (победа Давидовича Фокины); value — ТБ 21.5 геймов
Qwen updated14.07.2026 08:58 MSK
1 25%
2 75% ✓ favourite
Bet:2
Kimi updated14.07.2026 05:43 MSK
1 18%
2 82% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: ТМ 21.5 Bet:П2 (победа Давидовича Фокины)
GLM 5.2 updated14.07.2026 05:44 MSK
1 35%
2 65% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П2
Per AI data Form:L-L-L-W-L / W-W-L-L-W

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 24% 76% 2:0 ТБ 22.5 2
DeepSeek 10% 90% 2:0 ТМ 22.5 Победа Давидовича Фоки
ChatGPT 23% 77% 0:2 ТМ 21.5 Давидович-Фокина победит
Claude 33% 67% 2:0 ТБ 21.5 П2 (победа Давидовича Фокины); value — ТБ 21.5 геймов
Qwen 25% 75% 2
Kimi 18% 82% 0:2 ТМ 21.5 П2 (победа Давидовича Фокины)
GLM 5.2 35% 65% 2:0 ТБ 22.5 П2
Match center
Start 15.07.2026 09:00 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷 - Davidovich Fokina A

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷 26.3% 28.7%
Davidovich Fokina A 73.7% 71.3% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 28.7% / 71.3% probabilities
Rating 1,654 / 1,642 Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷 / Davidovich Fokina A
RD 166 / 182 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,322-1,986 / 1,278-2,007 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 71.3%
1 3.65 Fonbet · no value · model 28.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.23 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 3.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +0.5 3.35 29.9%
П1 +1.5 3.00 33.3%
П1 +2.5 2.60 38.5%
П1 +3.5 2.10 47.6%
П1 +4.5 1.70 58.8% 1.79 55.9%
П1 -0.5 3.70 27.0%
П1 -1.5 4.10 24.4%
П2 +0.5 1.28 78.1%
П2 +1.5 1.35 74.1%
П2 +2.5 1.45 69.0%
П2 +3.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +4.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 +5.5 2.80 35.7%
П2 -0.5 1.23 81.3%
П2 -1.5 1.19 84.0%
П2 -4.5 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 19.5 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 20.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 22.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 23.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 24.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 25.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 26.5 3.00 33.3%
ТМ 19.5 2.55 39.2%
ТМ 20.5 2.15 46.5%
ТМ 21.5 1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%
ТМ 22.5 1.65 60.6%
ТМ 23.5 1.53 65.4%
ТМ 24.5 1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.65 27.4% 3.50 28.6%
П2 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷
W
13.07 17:00 МСК ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
Trungeliti M. 🇦🇷 2:0 Zhake K. 🇫🇷Zhake K. 🇫🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Davidovich Fokina A
L W W W L
05.07 11:30 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Уимблдон (Великобритания), трава
Davidovich Fokina A 2:3 Оже-Альяссим Ф. (Кан)Оже-Альяссим Ф. (Кан)
03.07 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Уимблдон (Великобритания), трава
Davidovich Fokina A 3:0 Фучович М. (Вен)Фучович М. (Вен)
01.07 10:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Уимблдон (Великобритания), трава
Davidovich Fokina A 3:0 Марожан Ф. (Вен)Марожан Ф. (Вен)
26.06 13:30 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Майорка (Испания), трава
Davidovich Fokina A 2:1 Марожан Ф. (Вен)Марожан Ф. (Вен)
08.06 07:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Штутгарт (Германия), трава
Davidovich Fokina A 1:2 Белуччи М. (Ита)Белуччи М. (Ита)
3 Wins
2 Losses
2.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage