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ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
1 round 28.07.2026 20:00 UTC

De Minaur A - Tsitsipas S

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 De Minaur A — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · De Minaur A): model 55% · market 55% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · De Minaur A54.8%
2 · Tsitsipas S45.2%

Model estimate: win De Minaur A 54.8%, win Tsitsipas S 45.2%. Model favourite — De Minaur A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1De Minaur A (odds1.38) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • • De Minaur A
  • • 🇦🇺 — Tsitsipas S
  • • 🇬🇷 (tennis)
  • • De Minaur A
  • • 🇦🇺: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • • Tsitsipas S
  • • 🇬🇷: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Model backs De Minaur A
  • • 🇦🇺: probability 52% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.38)
  • • no edge over the line (-20 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction De Minaur A - Tsitsipas S July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: De Minaur A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.75 / 2 2.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 54.5%
2 45.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.30 ↑ 1.75
Pobeditel P2 3.50 ↓ 2.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

De Minaur A
7-3LWWWLWWLWW
scored 1.8conceded 0.7
Tsitsipas S
4-6WWLLWLLLWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:3/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated27.07.2026 13:38 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
2 42%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1
Per AI data Form:W,L,W,W,L / W,W,W,W,W H2H: 2-14
Claude updated27.07.2026 13:50 UTC
1 55% ✓ favourite
2 45%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Total bolshe 21.5
Qwen updated27.07.2026 13:47 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 58% 42% 2:1 Over 22.5
Claude 55% 45% 2:1 Over 21.5 Total bolshe 21.5
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Tennis ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright 1-y krug hard 28.07.2026 20:00 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 20:00 UTC 1-y krug Not started
De Minaur A
De Minaur A Australia Seed 6
Tsitsipas S
Tsitsipas S Greece Seed 51
-:-
Odds
P1 1.75 54.8% BetBoom
P2 2.12 45.2% BetBoom
Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Australia Country Greece
- Rating -
27 Age 27
183 Height (cm) 193
69 Weight (kg) 90
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
6 Seed 51
hard Coverage hard
C 1 H2H 9

Form over the last year

De Minaur A
67% 49 / 73
67% 49 / 73
Sintetika
no data
clay
8 iz 14
grass
8 iz 11
hard
33 iz 48
Tsitsipas S
52% 22 / 42
52% 22 / 42
Sintetika
no data
clay
10 iz 16
grass
1 iz 3
hard
11 iz 23

Head-to-head history

2026
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
  De Minaur A 0
  Tsitsipas S 0
2024
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
  De Minaur A 0
  Tsitsipas S 0
Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium
Start 28.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 10 matches
H2H 2
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models De Minaur A 64%
📐 Math model De Minaur A 55%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

De Minaur A - Tsitsipas S

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Aleks de Minor - Stefanos Tsitsipas. Vashington (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
De Minaur A 54.8% 54.8% market and model agree
Tsitsipas S 45.2% 45.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 54.8% / 45.2% probabilities
Rating 1,873 / 1,813 De Minaur A / Tsitsipas S
RD 127 / 147 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,619-2,128 / 1,520-2,107 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 Fonbet · no value · model 45.2%
1 1.75 Fonbet · no value · model 54.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.85 54.1% — —
1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% —
2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% —
1.93 51.8% — 2.10 47.6%
1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 2.30 43.5%
1.79 55.9% 1.82 55.0% 2.60 38.5%
— — 1.93 51.8%
— — 1.83 54.6%
— — 1.62 61.7%
— — 1.43 69.9%
— — 1.28 78.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 21.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 22.5 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
Over 23.5 2.00 50.0% — 2.00 50.0%
Over 24.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 25.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Over 27.5 — — 2.70 37.0%
Under 20.5 — — 2.70 37.0%
Under 21.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 22.5 1.99 50.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0%
Under 23.5 1.79 55.9% — 1.73 57.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8%
2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

De Minaur ALWWWLWWLWW
Tsitsipas SWWWWWLWLLW
H2H 1-0-4
2026-03-21 · Aleks De Minaur 0:2 Stefanos Tsitsipas
2024-05-14 · Aleks De Minaur 0:2 Stefanos Tsitsipas
2024-03-01 · Aleks De Minaur 2:1 Stefanos Tsitsipas
2023-08-06 · Aleks De Minaur 0:2 Stefanos Tsitsipas
2023-04-21 · Aleks De Minaur 0:2 Stefanos Tsitsipas
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.54 (Betcity) · 2 2.6 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.5 2.6
Winline 1.52 2.52
Fonbet 1.5 2.6
Betcity 1.54 2.47
Source: ruscore · line comparison
De Minaur A
D
28.07.2026 Championat
De Minaur A A. Aleks Mikhelsen Aleks Mikhelsen 🇺🇸 2 6 7 LL M. Makkenzi Makdonald Makkenzi Makdonald 🇺🇸 0 4 5 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Tsitsipas S
D D
28.07.2026 Championat
K. Kamil Maykhshak (Poland) 2 7 — T. Tommi Pol Tommi Pol 🇺🇸 0 5 6 1-y krug Tsitsipas S
28.07.2026 Championat
U. Ugo Umber (France) 2 6 7 Q A. Andres Martin Tsitsipas S
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDe Minaur A - Tsitsipas S

De Minaur A
0 matches total
Tsitsipas S
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2026 Mayami (m) hard 2-y krug S. Stefanos Tsitsipas Stefanos Tsitsipas (Greece) 2 6 7 5 A. Aleks de Minor Aleks de Minor (Australia) 0 3 6
Event
2024 Rim (m) clay 4-y krug 6 S. Stefanos Tsitsipas Stefanos Tsitsipas (Greece) 2 6 9 A. Aleks de Minor Aleks de Minor (A