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ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
31.07.2026 18:00 UTC

De Minaur A - Nakasima B. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 De Minaur A β€” 59%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· De Minaur A): model 57% Β· market 60% Ξ” βˆ’3 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· De Minaur A ✓ Pick59.4%
market60%
2 Β· Nakasima B. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ40.6%
market40%

Model estimate: win De Minaur A 59.4%, win Nakasima B. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 40.6%. Model favourite β€” De Minaur A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1De Minaur A (odds4.60) Score 2:1 confidence 57%
  • • De Minaur A
  • • πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί β€” Nakasima B
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ (tennis)
  • • De Minaur A
  • • πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Nakasima B
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ: forma VVP (2-1)
  • • Model backs De Minaur A
  • • πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί: probability 57% vs 22% on the line (odds 4.60)
  • • edge over the line +35 pp β€” value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction De Minaur A - Nakasima B. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: De Minaur A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.60 / 2 2.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 ✓ Pick 60.0%
2 40.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

De Minaur A
7-3LWWWLWWLWW
scored 1.8conceded 0.7
Nakasima B. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Tennis ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright hard 31.07.2026 18:00 UTC Not started
31.07.2026 18:00 UTC Not started
De Minaur A
De Minaur A
W
N
Nakasima B. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.60 60.0% BetBoom
P2 2.40 40.0% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 31.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 60.0% @ 1.60 / 2 40.0% @ 2.40
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

De Minaur A - Nakasima B. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
De Minaur A 59.6% 59.4% market and model agree
Nakasima B. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 40.4% 40.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 59.4% / 40.6% probabilities
Rating 1,926 / 1,800 De Minaur A / Nakasima B. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
RD 117 / 211 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,692-2,160 / 1,377-2,222 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.36 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 40.6%
1 1.58 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 59.4%
Total
Over 13.5 1.75 market consensus Β· line only
Over 22.5 1.81 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— 1.85 54.1% —
1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% —
2.03 49.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%
2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% —
1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%
— 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 4.5 — 2.00 50.0% —
Over 13.5 — 1.75 57.1% —
Over 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
Over 23.5 1.97 50.8% 1.94 51.6% —
Under 4.5 — 1.73 57.8% —
Under 13.5 — 1.96 51.0% —
Under 22.5 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3%
Under 23.5 1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.59 62.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5%
2.35 42.6% 2.34 42.7% 2.40 41.7%
Match center
De Minaur A
W
28.07 20:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Vashington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
De Minaur A 2:1 Tsitsipas S. πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·Tsitsipas S. πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Nakasima B. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
W W
30.07 12:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Vashington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Nakasima B. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2:1 Menshik Ya. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡ΏMenshik Ya. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
28.07 17:15 UTC ATP - Singles: Vashington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Nakasima B. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2:0 Etcheverri T.-M. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·Etcheverri T.-M. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage