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ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
30.07.2026 12:00 UTC

Fritz T - Michelsen A

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Fritz T — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · Fritz T): model 57% · market 67% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Fritz T ✓ Pick63.7%
market67%
2 · Michelsen A36.3%
market33%

Model estimate: win Fritz T 63.7%, win Michelsen A 36.3%. Model favourite — Fritz T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Fritz T (odds1.56) Score 2:1 confidence 61%
  • • Frits T
  • • 🇺🇸 — Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
  • • Frits T
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.58→1.55 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Frits T
  • • 🇺🇸: probability 61% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fritz T - Michelsen A July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fritz T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.43 / 2 2.85

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 ✓ Pick 66.6%
2 33.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.58 ↓ 1.45
Pobeditel P2 2.40 ↑ 2.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Fritz T
8-2WLWWWWWWWL
scored 2.0conceded 0.8
Michelsen A

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright hard 30.07.2026 12:00 UTC Not started
30.07.2026 12:00 UTC Not started
Fritz T
Fritz T
W W
Michelsen A
Michelsen A
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.53 64.7% BetBoom
P2 2.80 35.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 30.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Fritz T - Michelsen A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fritz T 64.4% 63.7% market and model agree
Michelsen A 35.6% 36.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 63.7% / 36.3% probabilities
Rating 1,896 / 1,788 Fritz T / Michelsen A
RD 128 / 129 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,640-2,152 / 1,529-2,046 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.85 Fonbet · no value · model 36.3%
1 1.43 Fonbet · no value · model 63.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 22.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.43 69.9%
— — 1.53 65.4%
1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4% 1.75 57.1%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 3.15 31.8%
— — 2.90 34.5%
— — 3.25 30.8%
1.97 50.8% 1.96 51.0% 3.90 25.6%
— — 2.60 38.5%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.30 76.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 21.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 23.5 1.99 50.3% 1.90 52.6% 2.02 49.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 25.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Over 27.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Over 28.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Under 21.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
Under 22.5 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5%
Under 23.5 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.45 69.0% 1.53 65.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.49 67.1%
2.73 36.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.85 35.1% 2.60 38.5%
Match center
Fritz T
W W
29.07 17:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Fritz T 2:0 Maychrzak K. 🇵🇱Maychrzak K. 🇵🇱
27.07 17:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Fritz T 2:0 Bergs Z. 🇧🇪Bergs Z. 🇧🇪
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Michelsen A
W
29.07 20:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Michelsen A 2:0 Mannarino A. 🇫🇷Mannarino A. 🇫🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFritz T - Michelsen A

Fritz T
0 matches total
Michelsen A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history