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ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
28.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction

Mannarino A - Tien L

Tennis ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright hard 28.07.2026 12:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 12:00 UTC Finished
Mannarino A
Mannarino A
Tien L
Tien L
2:0
Odds
P1 4.80 20.5% BetBoom
P2 1.24 79.5% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tien L — 76%

Pure model vs market (2 · Tien L): model 56% · market 80% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mannarino A24.3%
market20%
2 · Tien L ✓ Pick75.7%
market80%

Model estimate: win Mannarino A 24.3%, win Tien L 75.7%. Model favourite — Tien L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tien L (odds1.23) Score 1:2 confidence 59% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Mannarino A
  • • 🇫🇷 — Tien L
  • • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
  • • Mannarino A
  • • 🇫🇷: forma PPVPV (2-3)
  • • Tien L
  • • 🇺🇸: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Tien L
  • • 🇺🇸: probability 59% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.23)
  • • no edge over the line (-22 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mannarino A - Tien L July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tien L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tien L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.80 / 2 1.19
  • Glicko: Mannarino A 24.3% / Tien L 75.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 19.9%
2 ✓ Pick 80.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 4.15 ↑ 4.80
Winner 2 1.23 ↓ 1.19

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mannarino A
5-5LLWWWLWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4
Tien L
8-2WWLWWWWWWL
scored 1.8conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated28.07.2026 12:48 UTC
1 22%
2 78% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:Pob. Ten L. so schetom 2:0 po setam
Per AI data Form:WLLWL / LWLWW H2H: 0:0 Injuries:no
Claude updated28.07.2026 13:01 UTC
1 20%
2 80% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:2 (win Tena)
Qwen updated28.07.2026 12:57 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated28.07.2026 13:15 UTC
1 22%
2 78% ✓ favourite
Score... Total games: ... Bet:...
Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 13:16 UTC
1 20%
2 80% ✓ favourite
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 22% 78% 0:2 Under 21.5 Pob. Ten L. so schetom 2:0 po setam
Claude 20% 80% 2:0 Over 21.5
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi 22% 78% ... ... ...
GLM 5.2 20% 80% 2:1 Over 22.5
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Tien L 65%
📐 Math model Tien L 76%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Mannarino A - Tien L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mannarino A 22.1% 24.3%
Tien L 77.9% 75.7% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 24.3% / 75.7% probabilities
Rating 1,496 / 1,736 Mannarino A / Tien L
RD 153 / 149 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,191-1,802 / 1,438-2,035 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 75.7%
1 4.80 Fonbet · no value · model 24.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 4.30 23.3%
— 2.10 47.6% —
1.76 56.8% 1.79 55.9% —
— — 4.80 20.8%
— — 4.30 23.3%
— — 1.18 84.8%
— — 1.22 82.0%
— — 1.30 76.9%
— — 1.48 67.6%
— — 1.77 56.5%
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 3.40 29.4%
— — 1.14 87.7%
— — 1.18 84.8%
— 1.74 57.5% —
2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 19.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 20.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 2.00 50.0%
Over 22.5 — 2.05 48.8% 2.25 44.4%
Over 23.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Over 24.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Over 25.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Over 26.5 — — 3.15 31.8%
Under 18.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
Under 19.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 20.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Under 21.5 1.99 50.3% 2.02 49.5% —
Under 22.5 — 1.77 56.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
4.00 25.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.80 20.8% 4.10 24.4%
1.24 80.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.19 84.0% 1.22 82.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Mannarino ALWLLWLWWWL
Tien LLWLWLWWWWW
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.8 (Betcity) · 2 1.29 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 3.65 1.28
Winline 3.6 1.29
Fonbet 3.65 1.28
Betcity 3.8 1.27
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Mannarino A
L L W L W
09.07 17:15 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Newport 🇺🇸, grass
Mannarino A 1:2 Galarno A. 🇨🇦Galarno A. 🇨🇦
02.07 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Mannarino A 0:3 De Minaur A. 🇦🇺De Minaur A. 🇦🇺
30.06 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Mannarino A 3:0 Droge T. 🇫🇷Droge T. 🇫🇷
13.06 12:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Khertogenbos (Netherlands), grass
Mannarino A 0:2 De Minaur A. 🇦🇺De Minaur A. 🇦🇺
12.06 07:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Khertogenbos (Netherlands), grass
Mannarino A 2:0 Chzhan Ch. 🇨🇳Chzhan Ch. 🇨🇳
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Tien L
L W W L W
01.07 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Tien L 1:3 Fuchovich M. 🇭🇺Fuchovich M. 🇭🇺
26.06 13:00 UTC+0 EXHIBITION - Men: Kherlingem (Velikobritaniya), grass
Tien L 2:0 Darderi L. 🇮🇹Darderi L. 🇮🇹
26.06 13:00 UTC+0 EXHIBITION - Men: Kherlingem (Velikobritaniya), grass
Tien L 2:1 Lekhechka I. 🇨🇿Lekhechka I. 🇨🇿
30.05 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Tien L 0:3 Kobolli F. 🇮🇹Kobolli F. 🇮🇹
28.05 07:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Tien L 3:2 Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMannarino A - Tien L

Mannarino A
0 matches total
Tien L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history