PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
1 round 28.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction

Majchrzak K - Paul T

Tennis ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright 1-y krug hard 28.07.2026 12:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 12:00 UTC 1-y krug Finished
Majchrzak K
Majchrzak K Poland Seed 72
Paul T
Paul T USA Seed 21
2:0
Odds
P1 4.00 24.0% BetBoom
P2 1.26 76.1% BetBoom
Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Poland Country USA
- Rating -
30 Age 29
183 Height (cm) 185
80 Weight (kg) 82
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
72 Seed 21
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Majchrzak K
54% 20 / 37
54% 20 / 37
Sintetika
no data
clay
1 iz 4
grass
6 iz 8
hard
13 iz 25
Paul T
69% 34 / 49
69% 34 / 49
Sintetika
no data
clay
11 iz 15
grass
6 iz 8
hard
17 iz 26

Head-to-head history

Vashington (m)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Paul T — 72%

Pure model vs market (2 · Paul T): model 41% · market 77% Δ −36 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Majchrzak K28.0%
market23%
2 · Paul T ✓ Pick72.0%
market77%

Model estimate: win Majchrzak K 28.0%, win Paul T 72.0%. Model favourite — Paul T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Majchrzak K (odds3.90) Score 2:1 confidence 58% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Maychrzak K
  • • 🇵🇱 — Pol T
  • • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
  • • Maychrzak K
  • • 🇵🇱: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Pol T
  • • 🇺🇸: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • • Model backs Maychrzak K
  • • 🇵🇱: probability 58% vs 26% on the line (odds 3.90)
  • • edge over the line +32 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Majchrzak K - Paul T July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paul T.

Line favourite Fonbet: Paul T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.10 / 2 1.25
  • Glicko: Majchrzak K 28.0% / Paul T 72.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 23.4%
2 ✓ Pick 76.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 3.90 ↑ 4.00
Winner 2 1.25 → 1.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Majchrzak K
8-2WWLWWWWWLW
scored 1.8conceded 0.6
Paul T

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda.
Start 28.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 8 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Majchrzak K - Paul T

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Kamil Maykhshak - Tommi Pol. Vashington (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 72.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.038 / LogLoss 1.275
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 52.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.554 / LogLoss 0.748
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Majchrzak K 24.5% 28.0%
Paul T 75.5% 72.0% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 28.0% / 72.0% probabilities
Rating 1,891 / 1,699 Majchrzak K / Paul T
RD 135 / 156 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,621-2,162 / 1,387-2,011 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 72.0%
1 4.10 Fonbet · no value · model 28.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 4.15 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 3.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.70 27.0%
3.25 30.8%
2.70 37.0%
2.15 46.5%
1.68 59.5%
1.35 74.1%
1.16 86.2%
4.15 24.1%
4.60 21.7%
1.25 80.0%
1.30 76.9%
1.40 71.4%
1.63 61.4%
2.13 47.0%
2.95 33.9%
4.60 21.7%
1.19 84.0%
1.16 86.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 20.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 21.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 23.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 24.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 25.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 26.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 27.5 2.95 33.9%
Under 19.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 20.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 21.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 22.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 23.5 1.55 64.5%
Under 24.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 25.5 1.43 69.9%
Under 26.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 27.5 1.35 74.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
4.10 24.4% 3.75 26.7%
1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Majchrzak KLWLWWWWWLL
Paul TLWWLWWWWLW
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.65 (Pari) · 2 1.3 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 3.65 1.3
Winline 3.6 1.29
Fonbet 3.65 1.3
Betcity 3.5 1.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Majchrzak K
D
27.07.2026 Championat
Majchrzak K 3 T. Teylor Frits Teylor Frits 🇺🇸 2 6 Z. Zizu Bergs (Belgium) 0 3 4 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Paul T
D D
27.07.2026 Championat
M. Matteo Arnaldi (Italy) 0 1 Rt 4 L. Lorentso Muzetti (Italy) 2 6 3 1-y krug Paul T
27.07.2026 Championat
A. Alekhandro Tabilo (Chile) 2 7 4 6 LD T. Tallon Grikspor Paul T
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMajchrzak K - Paul T

Majchrzak K
0 matches total
Paul T
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Vashington (m)