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ATP. Washington. Tournament outright

1 round 28.07.2026 17:15 UTC Match prediction

Nakasima B. 🇺🇸 - Etcheverry T M

Tennis ATP. Washington. Tournament outright

ATP. Washington. Tournament outright 1-y krug hard 28.07.2026 17:15 UTC Finished

28.07.2026 17:15 UTC 1-y krug Finished

Nakasima B. 🇺🇸 USA Seed 33

Etcheverry T M Argentina Seed 31

2:0

Odds

P1 1.41 68.7% BetBoom

P2 3.10 31.3% BetBoom

Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Grandstend Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country Argentina

- Rating -

24 Age 27

188 Height (cm) 196

83 Weight (kg) 82

Pravsha Hand Pravsha

33 Seed 31

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Nakasima B. 🇺🇸

54% 28 / 52

54% 28 / 52

Sintetika

no data

clay

5 iz 10

grass

4 iz 6

hard

19 iz 36

Etcheverry T M

56% 34 / 61

56% 34 / 61

Sintetika

no data

clay

18 iz 28

grass

1 iz 5

hard

15 iz 28

Head-to-head history

2024

ATP. Washington. Tournament outright

Nakasima B. 🇺🇸 0

Etcheverry T M 0

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Nakasima B. 🇺🇸 — 66%

Pure model vs market (1 · Nakasima B. 🇺🇸): model 45% · market 69% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Nakasima B. 🇺🇸 ✓ Pick66.0%

market69%

2 · Etcheverry T M34.0%

market31%

Model estimate: win Nakasima B. 🇺🇸 66.0%, win Etcheverry T M 34.0%. Model favourite — Nakasima B. 🇺🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Etcheverry T M (odds2.45) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed

• Nakasima B
• 🇺🇸 — Etcheverri T.-M
• 🇦🇷 (tennis)
• Nakasima B
• 🇺🇸: forma P (0-1)
• Etcheverri T.-M
• 🇦🇷: forma PVVPP (2-3)
• Model backs Etcheverri T.-M
• 🇦🇷: probability 51% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.45)
• edge over the line +10 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nakasima B. 🇺🇸 - Etcheverry T M July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nakasima B. 🇺🇸.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nakasima B. 🇺🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.37 / 2 3.10
Glicko: Nakasima B. 🇺🇸 66.0% / Etcheverry T M 34.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 ✓ Pick 69.4%

2 30.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.55 ↓ 1.37

Winner 2 2.45 ↑ 3.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center

Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Grandstend

Start 28.07.2026 17:15 UTC

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 10 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Nakasima B. 🇺🇸 - Etcheverry T M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Brendon Nakashima - Tomas Martin Etcheverri. Vashington (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 66.0% fact: home hit / ROI 41.0% / Brier 0.231 / LogLoss 0.415

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.9% fact: home hit / ROI 41.0% / Brier 0.462 / LogLoss 0.655

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Nakasima B. 🇺🇸 68.3% 66.0% market and model agree

Etcheverry T M 31.7% 34.0%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 66.0% / 34.0% probabilities

Rating 1,397 / 1,593 Nakasima B. 🇺🇸 / Etcheverry T M

RD 275 / 155 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 847-1,946 / 1,284-1,903 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.10 Fonbet · no value · model 34.0%

1 1.37 Fonbet · no value · model 66.0%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 3.25 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 20.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Over 21.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
—	—	1.37 73.0%
—	—	1.47 68.0%
—	—	1.63 61.4%
2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.08 48.1%
—	—	2.70 37.0%
—	—	3.25 30.8%
—	—	3.60 27.8%
—	—	4.40 22.7%
1.76 56.8%	1.77 56.5%	—
—	—	2.85 35.1%
—	—	2.50 40.0%
—	—	2.13 47.0%
—	—	1.70 58.8%
—	—	1.40 71.4%
—	—	1.17 85.5%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 20.5	—	—	1.38 72.5%
Over 21.5	—	—	1.50 66.7%
Over 22.5	1.86 53.8%	1.87 53.5%	1.80 55.6%
Over 23.5	—	—	2.02 49.5%
Over 24.5	—	—	2.05 48.8%
Over 25.5	—	—	2.20 45.5%
Over 26.5	—	—	2.50 40.0%
Over 27.5	—	—	2.70 37.0%
Under 20.5	—	—	2.80 35.7%
Under 21.5	—	—	2.40 41.7%
Under 22.5	1.92 52.1%	1.93 51.8%	2.00 50.0%
Under 23.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%
Under 24.5	—	—	1.68 59.5%
Under 25.5	—	—	1.58 63.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.39 71.9%	1.41 70.9%	1.37 73.0%	1.38 72.5%
	2.97 33.7%	2.90 34.5%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%

Match center

Nakasima B. 🇺🇸

28.07.2026 Championat

Nakasima B. 🇺🇸 6 F. Frensis Tiafo Frensis Tiafo 🇺🇸 1 6 3 4 T. Terens Atman (France) 2 4 6 1-y krug

0 Wins

0 Losses

- Sets won

- Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Etcheverry T M

D D

28.07.2026 Championat

Q A. Aleksandar Vukich (Australia) 2 6 LL Z. Zakhari Svayda Zakhari Svayda 🇺🇸 0 3 1-y krug Etcheverry T M

28.07.2026 Championat

WC K. Key Nisikori (Japan) 2 6 SR Ts. Tszyunchen Etcheverry T M

0 Wins

0 Losses

- Sets won

- Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNakasima B. 🇺🇸 - Etcheverry T M

Nakasima B. 🇺🇸

0 matches total

Etcheverry T M

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2024 Barselona clay 3-y krug 13 T. Tomas Martin Etcheverri Tomas Martin Etcheverri (Argentina) 2 3 7 6 LD B. Brendon Nakashima Brendon Nakashima 🇺🇸 1 6 4 CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'tennis_1543622' } }