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ATP Rim
ATP Rim Austria
07.05.2026 09:00 UTC 2 round
Finished

ATP Rim

Austria

Andrea Pellegrino - Luka Nardi

Austria Tennis
Andrea Pellegrino
Andrea Pellegrino
2 : 0
Finished
Luka Nardi
Luka Nardi

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Andrea Pellegrino - Luka Nardi May 7, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Andrea Pellegrino. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 8.00
  • Total 2.5: over probability 0.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 88.1%
2 11.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 5/5
Confidence 81.8%
Total Under 2.5
Score 2:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Tennis ATP Rim
ATP Rim 07.05.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
07.05.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
Andrea Pellegrino
Andrea Pellegrino Italy
W W W
Luka Nardi
Luka Nardi Italy
2:0
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Italy Country Italy
- Rating -
29 Age -
185 Height (cm) -
81 Weight (kg) -
Right Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Andrea Pellegrino
55% 27 / 49
55% 27 / 49
Synthetic
no data
Clay
4 of 7
Grass
6 of 9
Hard
17 of 33
Luka Nardi
57% 8 / 14
57% 8 / 14
Synthetic
no data
Clay
5 of 9
Grass
no data
Hard
3 of 5
Match center
Stadium Foro Italiko. Pervyy kort
Start 07.05.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Andrea Pellegrino - Luka Nardi

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Klara Tauson - Aleksandra Oleynikova. Rome (zh). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 3/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Andrea Pellegrino 82.6% - market favourite
Draw 0.0% -
Luka Nardi 17.4% -
Total 2.5 Over 0.0% - Under 0.0%
Model check - - Difference 0.00
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 BetBoom Betfair Bwin CloudBet DraftKings Duelbits Everygame Fonbet
1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.17 85.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.08 92.6%
15.00 6.7% 7.81 12.8% 14.00 7.1% 11.50 8.7% 17.00 5.9% 5.26 19.0% 2.28 43.9% 2.25 44.4% 8.00 12.5%
Match center
Andrea Pellegrino
W W W
05.05 14:05 UTC ATP Rome Masters
Andrea Pellegrino 2:1 Martin Landaluce
04.05 11:55 UTC ATP Rome Masters
Andrea Pellegrino 2:0 Hugo GastonHugo Gaston
29.04 10:00 UTC Cagliari, Italy
Andrea Pellegrino 2:1 Stefanos SakellaridisStefanos Sakellaridis
3 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.7 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.