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ATP. Bastad. Tournament outright
ATP. Bastad. Tournament outright
semi-final 22.05.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
22.05.2026 13:30 UTC semi-final
Finished

ATP. Bastad. Tournament outright

De Minaur A. 🇦🇺 - Pol T. 🇺🇸

Tennis
De Minaur A. 🇦🇺
De Minaur A. 🇦🇺
1 : 2
6:2 3:6 3:6
Finished
Pol T. 🇺🇸
Pol T. 🇺🇸

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction De Minaur A. 🇦🇺 - Pol T. 🇺🇸 May 22, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pol T. 🇺🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.30 / 2 1.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 41.0%
2 59.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

De Minaur A. 🇦🇺
7-3LWWWLWWLWW
scored 1.8conceded 0.7
Pol T. 🇺🇸

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium TGTs Gorn-Gamm. Tsentralnyy kort
Start 22.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

De Minaur A. 🇦🇺 - Pol T. 🇺🇸

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty tennisnogo matches Aleks de Minor - Tommi Pol, 22 maya 2026. Hamburg (m). Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Aleks de Minor - Tommi Pol, kto pobedil.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 2.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.30 43.5%
1.60 62.5%
Match center
De Minaur A. 🇦🇺
W W
21.05 14:45 UTC ATP - Singles: Gamburg (Germany), clay
De Minaur A. 🇦🇺 2:0 Darderi L. 🇮🇹Darderi L. 🇮🇹
20.05 13:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Gamburg (Germany), clay
De Minaur A. 🇦🇺 2:1 Davidovich Fokina A. 🇪🇸Davidovich Fokina A. 🇪🇸
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Pol T. 🇺🇸
W
21.05 11:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Gamburg (Germany), clay
Pol T. 🇺🇸 2:0 Altmayer D. 🇩🇪Altmayer D. 🇩🇪
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage