ATP. Umag. Clay
ATP. Umag. Clay
01.07.2026 09:30 UTC 2 round
Finished

ATP. Umag. Clay

Merida Aguilar D - Medvedev D. (World)

Tennis
Merida Aguilar D
Merida Aguilar D
1 : 3
6:3 3:6 5:7 2:6
Finished
Medvedev D. (World)
Medvedev D. (World)
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Medvedev D. (World) (odds1.01) Score 0:2 confidence 91% ✓ outcome correct
  • Merida Agilar D
  • 🇪🇸 — Medvedev D
  • (World) (tennis)
  • Merida Agilar D
  • 🇪🇸: forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • Medvedev D
  • (World): forma PVVP (2)
  • Model backs Medvedev D
  • (World): probability 91%.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Merida Aguilar D - Medvedev D. (World) July 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Medvedev D. (World). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 6.3%
2 93.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Merida Aguilar D
5-5LWWLLLWWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.3
Medvedev D. (World)
6-4LLWWLWWLWW
scored 1.8conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Vseangliyskiy klub laun-tennisa i kroketa. Kort 2
Start 01.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Match center

Merida Aguilar D - Medvedev D. (World)

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty tennisnogo matches Daniel Merida-Agilar - Daniil Medvedev, 01 iyulya 2026. Uimbldon (m). Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Daniel Merida-Agilar - Daniil Medvedev, kto pobedil.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Championat

Match flow

Source

1:3 D. Medvedev Daniil Medvedev obygral Danielya Merida-Agilara vo vtorom kruge Uimbldona — 3:6:3, 7:5, 6:2. Ispanets vyigral pervuyu partiyu, no v dalneyshem Medvedev pribavil na prieme, luchshe derzhal myach v igre and byl luchshe v klyuchevykh momentakh. 30/36 po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam u Danielya, 38/33 u Daniila. V tretem kruge turnira Medvedev sygraet s pobeditelem vstrechi Brendon Nakashima – Yan-Lennard Shtruff. Na etom nasha translyatsiya zavershena. Vsego khoroshego! A Anastasiya Gasanova ne spravilas s Osakoy Medvedev pervym iz rossiyan vyshel v tretiy round Uimbldona. U nego uzhe 20 pobed na etom TBSh 2:6 D. Medvedev Ne spravilsya Daniel s moschnoy podachey po tsentru Matchbol. Eys po tsentru!

18:29 1:3 D. Medvedev Daniil Medvedev obygral Danielya Merida-Agilara vo vtorom kruge Uimbldona — 3:6:3, 7:5, 6:2. Ispanets vyigral pervuyu partiyu, no v dalneyshem Medvedev pribavil na prieme, luchshe derzhal myach v igre and byl luchshe v klyuchevykh momentakh. 30/36 po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam u Danielya, 38/33 u Daniila. V tretem kruge turnira Medvedev sygraet s pobeditelem vstrechi Brendon Nakashima – Yan-Lennard Shtruff. Na etom nasha translyatsiya zavershena. Vsego khoroshego! A Anastasiya Gasanova ne spravilas s Osakoy Medvedev pervym iz rossiyan vyshel v tretiy round Uimbldona. U nego uzhe 20 pobed na etom TBSh
18:29 2:6 D. Medvedev Ne spravilsya Daniel s moschnoy podachey po tsentru
18:28 Matchbol. Eys po tsentru!
30:30 . Esche odna klassnaya podacha
15:30 . Moschnaya podacha po tsentru
0:30 . Daniil popytalsya perevesti myach s bekkhenda po linii, no popal v setku
0:15 . Ne proshel ukorochennyy s zadney linii u Medvedeva
18:26 2:5 D. Medvedev Oshibsya s zadney linii ispanets, poslav myach v setku
30:40 . Merida-Agilar vladel initsiativoy and moschno probil pod zadnyuyu liniyu, vynudiv Medvedeva oshibitsya
15:40 . Daniel ne podstroilsya pod otskok na zadney linii and poslal myach v setku
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 26.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 27.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.33 75.2%
1.16 86.2%
3.10 32.3%
9.50 10.5%
5.30 18.9%
3.90 25.6%
1.09 91.7%
2.85 35.1%
3.05 32.8%
4.60 21.7%
1.32 75.8%
1.02 98.0%
1.10 90.9%
1.20 83.3%
5.60 17.9%
1.37 73.0%
1.68 59.5%
2.20 45.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 26.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 27.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 28.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 29.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 30.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 31.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 32.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 33.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 34.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 36.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 37.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 38.5 3.90 25.6%
Over 39.5 5.30 18.9%
Over 40.5 7.10 14.1%
Over 41.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 42.5 2.13 47.0%
Under 26.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 27.5 2.30 43.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
15.00 6.7%
1.01 99.0%