ATP. Umag. Clay
ATP. Umag. Clay
05.07.2026 14:00 UTC 4 round
Finished

ATP. Umag. Clay

Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - Mochizuki Sh. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต

Tennis
Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
3 : 0
Finished
M
Mochizuki Sh. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

๐ŸŽฏ ยซConfident pickยป

1Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น โ€” 91%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

๐Ÿ’Ž ยซValueยป

2Mochizuki Sh. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต โ€” odds 20.00 ยท edge +4.4% ยท 2 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - Mochizuki Sh. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต July 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
9-1WWWWWWLWWW
scored 2.4conceded 0.6
Mochizuki Sh. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
8-2LWWLWWWWWW
scored 2.1conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics โ€” for reference.

Form and head-to-head โ€ข Wimbledon - Men - Round of 16

Team stats

Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
WWWWWWLWWW
W 9 โ€ข D 0 โ€ข L 1 (10)
Goals average:2.4 : 0.6
Mochizuki Sh. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
LWWLWWWWWW
W 8 โ€ข D 0 โ€ข L 2 (10)
Goals average:2.1 : 0.9

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

ELO rating by surface โ€ข grass

Player strength by ELO

Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
ELO 2414 #1
hard2510
clay2159
grass2162
Best career ranking: #1
Mochizuki Sh. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
ELO 1613 #194
hard1624
Best career ranking: #163
ELO favourite (grass): Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น โ€” ELO 2162 vs 1613

ELO ratings by surface: Ultimate Tennis Statistics / Tennis Abstract. For reference.

Match workload

Fatigue and schedule

Sinner Ya.
Normal schedule
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
  • Sets in 7 days: 6
  • Rest: 2 days
Mochizuki Sh.
Normal schedule
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
  • Sets in 7 days: 7
  • Rest: 2 days

Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.

Form and surface

Recent matches

Sinner Ya.
19โ€“1 (95% over last 20)
  • Hard: 1โ€“0
  • Clay: 18โ€“1
Mochizuki Sh.
4โ€“14 (22% over last 18)
  • Hard: 3โ€“11
  • Clay: 0โ€“1
  • Grass: 1โ€“2

Form, surface stats and head-to-head: tennis-data.co.uk (ATP/WTA main tour). For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Vseangliyskiy klub laun-tennisa i kroketa. Tsentralnyy kort
Start 05.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - Mochizuki Sh. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Yannik Sinner - Sintaro Mochizuki. Uimbldon (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 25.5 1.35 Fonbet ยท line only
Over 26.5 1.63 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
3.20 31.3%
3.75 26.7%
5.50 18.2%
1.01 99.0%
2.50 40.0%
2.50 40.0%
6.00 16.7%
2.95 33.9% 1.91 52.4%
1.86 53.8%
1.30 76.9%
1.23 81.3%
1.11 90.1%
12.00 8.3%
1.50 66.7%
1.45 69.0%
1.09 91.7%
1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 25.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 26.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 27.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 28.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 29.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 30.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 31.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 32.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 33.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 34.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 35.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 25.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 26.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 27.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 28.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 29.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 30.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 31.5 2.55 39.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0%
16.00 6.3% 14.00 7.1%
Match center
Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
W W
03.07 11:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 3:0 Bruksbi Dzh. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธBruksbi Dzh. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
01.07 10:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Sinner Ya. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 3:0 Borzhesh N. ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡นBorzhesh N. ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น
2 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Mochizuki Sh. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
W W
03.07 08:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Mochizuki Sh. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต 3:1 Jodar R. ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
01.07 11:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Mochizuki Sh. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต 3:0 Kuinn I. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
2 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage